--- title: "Excalibur case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Excalibur ($4.99) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.86% over 2,960 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/excalibur rendered: 2026-11-11T19:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Excalibur](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/excalibur) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Excalibur A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/excalibur?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/excalibur?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/excalibur) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/excalibur?window=all) Price · $4.99 · 7.13 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 92.86% · 2,960 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 261 openings · below min 7 days · 90.71% ±10.14 2,172 openings 30 days · 92.86% ±9.12 2,960 openings since tracking started · 92.86% ±9.12 2,960 openings 69.0% 99.3% 129.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/excalibur?window=24h) | 261 | 99.35% ±29.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/excalibur?window=7d) | 2,172 | 90.71% ±10.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/excalibur) | 2,960 | 92.86% ±9.12 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/excalibur?window=all) | 2,960 | 92.86% ±9.12 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=excalibur) [P250 | Iron Clad (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-factory-new) Hidden $4.99 7.13 coins $0.39 0.55 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 19:41 UTC [FAMAS | Styx (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-field-tested) Hidden $4.99 7.13 coins $1.74 2.48 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 19:41 UTC [FAMAS | Styx (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-field-tested) Hidden $4.99 7.13 coins $1.74 2.48 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 19:41 UTC [P250 | Iron Clad (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-factory-new) Hidden $4.99 7.13 coins $0.39 0.55 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 19:41 UTC [P250 | Iron Clad (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-factory-new) Hidden $4.99 7.13 coins $0.39 0.55 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 19:41 UTC [P250 | Iron Clad (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-factory-new) [ｄｒｙ](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%EF%BD%84%EF%BD%92%EF%BD%99) $4.99 7.13 coins $0.39 0.55 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 19:41 UTC [P250 | Iron Clad (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-factory-new) Hidden $4.99 7.13 coins $0.39 0.55 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC [P250 | Iron Clad (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-factory-new) Hidden $4.99 7.13 coins $0.39 0.55 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) Hidden $4.99 7.13 coins $17.62 25.17 coins 3.53x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC [P250 | Iron Clad (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-factory-new) Hidden $4.99 7.13 coins $0.39 0.55 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.86 on average: an expected loss of $7.14 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt