--- title: "Fireworks case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fireworks ($0.47) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.93% over 82K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fireworks rendered: 2026-11-11T14:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Fireworks](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fireworks) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Fireworks A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fireworks?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fireworks?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fireworks) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fireworks?window=all) Price · $0.47 · 0.67 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.93% · 82K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.25% ±11.92 7,544 openings 7 days · 91.14% ±4.21 64.1K openings 30 days · 90.93% ±3.71 82K openings since tracking started · 90.93% ±3.71 82K openings 75.5% 88.3% 101.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fireworks?window=24h) | 7,544 | 88.25% ±11.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fireworks?window=7d) | 64.1K | 91.14% ±4.21 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fireworks) | 82K | 90.93% ±3.71 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fireworks?window=all) | 82K | 90.93% ±3.71 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) [Mister Wick](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Mister%20Wick) $0.47 0.67 coins $33.19 47.41 coins 70.76x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins $33.19 47.41 coins 70.76x 2026-11-11 05:53 UTC [AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins $33.19 47.41 coins 70.76x 2026-11-11 03:46 UTC [AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins $33.19 47.41 coins 70.76x 2026-11-11 02:06 UTC [AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins $33.19 47.41 coins 70.76x 2026-11-10 19:52 UTC [AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) [Nexxs\_ skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Nexxs_%20skins.army) $0.47 0.67 coins $33.19 47.41 coins 70.76x 2026-11-10 17:48 UTC [AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins $33.19 47.41 coins 70.76x 2026-11-10 12:34 UTC [AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins $33.19 47.41 coins 70.76x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins $33.19 47.41 coins 70.76x 2026-11-10 09:41 UTC [AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins $33.19 47.41 coins 70.76x 2026-11-10 08:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=fireworks) [MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-field-tested) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-field-tested) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-field-tested) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-field-tested) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-field-tested) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-field-tested) [-mad4rinh0-](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/-mad4rinh0-) $0.47 0.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:24 UTC [MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-field-tested) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-field-tested) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-field-tested) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-field-tested) Hidden $0.47 0.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $33.19 (70.76x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.93 on average: an expected loss of $9.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt