--- title: "Flimsy case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Flimsy ($1.71) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.95% over 109K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/flimsy rendered: 2026-11-11T12:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Flimsy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/flimsy) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Flimsy A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/flimsy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/flimsy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/flimsy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/flimsy?window=all) Price · $1.71 · 2.44 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.95% · 109K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 91.13% ±15.33 14.2K openings 7 days · 90.65% ±5.99 94.2K openings 30 days · 90.95% ±5.56 109K openings since tracking started · 90.95% ±5.56 109K openings 75.0% 91.0% 107.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/flimsy?window=24h) | 14.2K | 91.13% ±15.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/flimsy?window=7d) | 94.2K | 90.65% ±5.99 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/flimsy) | 109K | 90.95% ±5.56 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/flimsy?window=all) | 109K | 90.95% ±5.56 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $274 391 coins 160.2x 2026-11-11 01:23 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $274 391 coins 160.2x 2026-11-10 17:01 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $274 391 coins 160.2x 2026-11-10 13:41 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $274 391 coins 160.2x 2026-11-10 13:05 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $274 391 coins 160.2x 2026-11-10 09:31 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) [Fenitchka](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Fenitchka) $1.71 2.44 coins $274 391 coins 160.2x 2026-11-10 01:52 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $274 391 coins 160.2x 2026-11-09 19:38 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $274 391 coins 160.2x 2026-11-09 16:29 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $274 391 coins 160.2x 2026-11-09 16:25 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $274 391 coins 160.2x 2026-11-09 12:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=flimsy) [Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-cocky-tiger-orange) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-cocky-tiger-orange) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-cocky-tiger-orange) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-cocky-tiger-orange) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-cocky-tiger-orange) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-cocky-tiger-orange) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-cocky-tiger-orange) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-cocky-tiger-orange) [Ronaldo](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Ronaldo) $1.71 2.44 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-cocky-tiger-orange) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.71 2.44 coins $106 152 coins 62.30x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $274 (160.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.95 on average: an expected loss of $9.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt