--- title: "Foggy case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Foggy ($2.00) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.63% over 30.9K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/foggy rendered: 2026-11-11T13:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Foggy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/foggy) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Foggy A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/foggy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/foggy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/foggy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/foggy?window=all) Price · $2.00 · 2.86 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.63% · 30.9K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 86.36% ±11.50 3,363 openings 7 days · 90.37% ±4.81 25K openings 30 days · 91.63% ±4.40 30.9K openings since tracking started · 91.63% ±4.40 30.9K openings 74.0% 86.3% 98.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/foggy?window=24h) | 3,363 | 86.36% ±11.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/foggy?window=7d) | 25K | 90.37% ±4.81 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/foggy) | 30.9K | 91.63% ±4.40 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/foggy?window=all) | 30.9K | 91.63% ±4.40 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Paracord Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $106 151 coins 52.92x 2026-11-10 17:04 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $106 151 coins 52.92x 2026-11-10 07:49 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $106 151 coins 52.92x 2026-11-09 21:06 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $106 151 coins 52.92x 2026-11-09 21:01 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $106 151 coins 52.92x 2026-11-09 20:29 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $106 151 coins 52.92x 2026-11-09 20:22 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $106 151 coins 52.92x 2026-11-09 17:29 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $106 151 coins 52.92x 2026-11-09 15:56 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $106 151 coins 52.92x 2026-11-09 12:53 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $106 151 coins 52.92x 2026-11-09 10:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=foggy) [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $5.05 7.21 coins 2.52x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-outbreak-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-outbreak-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-outbreak-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-outbreak-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-outbreak-minimal-wear) [Paolo](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Paolo) $2.00 2.86 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-outbreak-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC [SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-outbreak-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC [SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-outbreak-minimal-wear) [X3NR11K\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/X3NR11K_) $2.00 2.86 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC [SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-outbreak-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2.86 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $106 (52.92x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.63 on average: an expected loss of $8.37 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt