--- title: "Fools Gold case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fools Gold ($70.00) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 5.42% over 72 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fools-gold rendered: 2026-11-11T14:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Fools Gold](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fools-gold) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Fools Gold A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fools-gold?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fools-gold?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fools-gold) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fools-gold?window=all) Price · $70.00 · 100 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 5.42% · 72 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 30 days · 72 openings · below min since tracking started · 72 openings · below min 1.0% 5.3% 9.5% **Small sample.** 72 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fools-gold?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fools-gold?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fools-gold) | 72 | 5.42% ±3.58 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fools-gold?window=all) | 72 | 5.42% ±3.58 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=fools-gold) [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0 0 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:25 UTC [Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-minimal-wear) [rose-2fdbca](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/rose-2fdbca) $0 0 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [PushinGrandaddyPurple](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/PushinGrandaddyPurple) $0 0 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:21 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Ceontea](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Ceontea) $0 0 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-battle-scarred) [OneTimeLastTime](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/OneTimeLastTime) $0 0 coins $1.41 2.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:14 UTC [Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-minimal-wear) [cpt.](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/cpt.) $0 0 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-factory-new) [Tobias](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Tobias) $0 0 coins $0.35 0.5 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC [AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) [Almighty JNS](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Almighty%20JNS) $0 0 coins $36.48 52.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-factory-new) [popbangpop](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/popbangpop) $0 0 coins $2.13 3.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-minimal-wear) [LUFFFFYYYYYY](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/LUFFFFYYYYYY) $0 0 coins $1.78 2.54 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 5.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $5.42 on average: an expected loss of $94.58 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt