--- title: "Fried case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fried ($197.18) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.67% over 4,894 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fried rendered: 2026-11-11T18:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Fried](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fried) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Fried A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fried?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fried?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fried) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fried?window=all) Price · $197.18 · 282 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.67% · 4,894 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 809 openings · below min 7 days · 92.30% ±14.84 3,825 openings 30 days · 91.67% ±13.39 4,894 openings since tracking started · 91.67% ±13.39 4,894 openings 42.0% 75.0% 108.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fried?window=24h) | 809 | 66.50% ±23.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fried?window=7d) | 3,825 | 92.30% ±14.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fried) | 4,894 | 91.67% ±13.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/fried?window=all) | 4,894 | 91.67% ±13.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $197 282 coins $15.4K 21,976 coins 78.02x 2026-11-04 22:22 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $197 282 coins $15.4K 21,976 coins 78.02x 2026-11-03 22:23 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $197 282 coins $11.9K 16,982 coins 60.29x 2026-11-10 22:15 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $197 282 coins $11.9K 16,982 coins 60.29x 2026-11-09 10:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [swerve](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/swerve) $197 282 coins $11.9K 16,982 coins 60.29x 2026-11-07 17:33 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $197 282 coins $11.9K 16,982 coins 60.29x 2026-11-07 04:30 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [PAT](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/PAT) $197 282 coins $11.9K 16,982 coins 60.29x 2026-11-06 18:20 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [RICKASHAY](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/RICKASHAY) $197 282 coins $11.9K 16,982 coins 60.29x 2026-11-06 12:50 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $197 282 coins $11.9K 16,982 coins 60.29x 2026-11-04 19:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $197 282 coins $11.9K 16,982 coins 60.29x 2026-11-04 01:57 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=fried) [Sticker | Poorly Drawn Chicken sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken) Hidden $197 282 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:50 UTC [Sticker | Poorly Drawn Chicken sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken) Hidden $197 282 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:50 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) Hidden $197 282 coins $8.92 12.74 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 17:50 UTC [Sticker | Poorly Drawn Chicken sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken) Hidden $197 282 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:50 UTC [Sticker | Poorly Drawn Chicken sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken) Hidden $197 282 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:50 UTC [Sticker | Poorly Drawn Chicken sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken) [RevvOnGambles](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/RevvOnGambles) $197 282 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:50 UTC [Sticker | Poorly Drawn Chicken sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken) Hidden $197 282 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC [Sticker | Poorly Drawn Chicken sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken) Hidden $197 282 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC [Sticker | Poorly Drawn Chicken sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken) Hidden $197 282 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC [Sticker | Poorly Drawn Chicken sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken) Hidden $197 282 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $15.4K (78.02x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.67 on average: an expected loss of $8.33 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt