--- title: "Frostbite case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Frostbite ($40.60) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.50% over 328 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/frostbite rendered: 2026-11-11T19:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Frostbite](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/frostbite) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Frostbite A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/frostbite?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/frostbite?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/frostbite) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/frostbite?window=all) Price · $40.60 · 58 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 92.50% · 328 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 171 openings · below min 30 days · 328 openings · below min since tracking started · 328 openings · below min 2.5% 124.8% 247.0% **Small sample.** 328 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/frostbite?window=24h) | 18 | 124.79% ±121.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/frostbite?window=7d) | 171 | 96.74% ±17.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/frostbite) | 328 | 92.50% ±11.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/frostbite?window=all) | 328 | 92.50% ±11.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=frostbite) [Tec-9 | Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) Hidden $40.60 58 coins $6.48 9.25 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 19:11 UTC [Tec-9 | Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) Hidden $40.60 58 coins $6.48 9.25 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 19:11 UTC [M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) Hidden $40.60 58 coins $52.77 75.38 coins 1.30x 2026-11-11 19:11 UTC [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) Hidden $40.60 58 coins $7.71 11.01 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 19:11 UTC [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) Hidden $40.60 58 coins $7.71 11.01 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 19:11 UTC [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) Hidden $40.60 58 coins $7.71 11.01 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 19:11 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) Hidden $40.60 58 coins $92.97 133 coins 2.29x 2026-11-11 19:11 UTC [Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-factory-new) [Frkux](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Frkux) $40.60 58 coins $12.02 17.17 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 19:11 UTC [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) Hidden $40.60 58 coins $7.71 11.01 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 07:34 UTC [Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-factory-new) Hidden $40.60 58 coins $12.02 17.17 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 07:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.50 on average: an expected loss of $7.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt