--- title: "Full Bag case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Full Bag ($24.08) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.50% over 3,461 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/full-bag rendered: 2026-11-12T02:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Full Bag](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/full-bag) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Full Bag A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/full-bag?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/full-bag?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/full-bag) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/full-bag?window=all) Price · $24.08 · 34.4 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.50% · 3,461 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 227 openings · below min 7 days · 95.06% ±16.02 2,445 openings 30 days · 91.50% ±13.03 3,461 openings since tracking started · 91.50% ±13.03 3,461 openings 60.5% 118.3% 176.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/full-bag?window=24h) | 227 | 118.31% ±57.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/full-bag?window=7d) | 2,445 | 95.06% ±16.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/full-bag) | 3,461 | 91.50% ±13.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/full-bag?window=all) | 3,461 | 91.50% ±13.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $1,206 1,723 coins 50.10x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $1,206 1,723 coins 50.10x 2026-11-10 19:46 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $1,206 1,723 coins 50.10x 2026-11-09 11:32 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $1,206 1,723 coins 50.10x 2026-11-07 02:38 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $1,206 1,723 coins 50.10x 2026-11-06 02:45 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $1,206 1,723 coins 50.10x 2026-11-04 19:27 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $915 1,307 coins 37.99x 2026-11-08 08:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $915 1,307 coins 37.99x 2026-11-07 02:37 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $915 1,307 coins 37.99x 2026-11-05 14:26 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $915 1,307 coins 37.99x 2026-11-04 23:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=full-bag) [★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $321 459 coins 13.35x 2026-11-12 02:01 UTC [Souvenir Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-hand-cannon-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $251 358 coins 10.41x 2026-11-12 02:01 UTC [M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-well-worn) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $62.40 89.14 coins 2.59x 2026-11-12 02:01 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Kiss (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-kiss-brick-red) [shubidibap](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/shubidibap) $24.08 34.4 coins $0.91 1.3 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 02:01 UTC [Souvenir Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-hand-cannon-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $251 358 coins 10.41x 2026-11-12 01:57 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Kiss (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-kiss-brick-red) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $0.91 1.3 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 01:57 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Kiss (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-kiss-brick-red) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $0.91 1.3 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 01:57 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Kiss (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-kiss-brick-red) [shubidibap](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/shubidibap) $24.08 34.4 coins $0.91 1.3 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 01:57 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Kiss (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-kiss-brick-red) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $0.91 1.3 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 01:43 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Kiss (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-kiss-brick-red) Hidden $24.08 34.4 coins $0.91 1.3 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 01:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,206 (50.10x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.50 on average: an expected loss of $8.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt