--- title: "Galaxy case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Galaxy ($420.57) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.90% over 172 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/galaxy rendered: 2026-11-11T23:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Galaxy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/galaxy) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Galaxy A case on Rain.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/galaxy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/galaxy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/galaxy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/galaxy?window=all) Price · $420.57 · 601 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.90% · 172 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 166 openings · below min 30 days · 172 openings · below min since tracking started · 172 openings · below min 45.0% 94.0% 143.0% **Small sample.** 172 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/galaxy?window=24h) | 8 | 94.20% ±48.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/galaxy?window=7d) | 166 | 91.06% ±24.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/galaxy) | 172 | 90.90% ±23.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/galaxy?window=all) | 172 | 90.90% ±23.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $421 601 coins $6,231 8,902 coins 14.82x 2026-11-06 11:46 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $421 601 coins $3,168 4,525 coins 7.53x 2026-11-08 16:44 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $421 601 coins $3,168 4,525 coins 7.53x 2026-11-08 00:17 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $421 601 coins $3,168 4,525 coins 7.53x 2026-11-07 20:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $421 601 coins $1,785 2,550 coins 4.24x 2026-11-06 11:46 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $421 601 coins $1,167 1,667 coins 2.77x 2026-11-08 18:03 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $421 601 coins $1,167 1,667 coins 2.77x 2026-11-08 16:44 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $421 601 coins $1,167 1,667 coins 2.77x 2026-11-07 00:07 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) [ElpassoCS](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ElpassoCS) $421 601 coins $1,167 1,667 coins 2.77x 2026-11-06 21:48 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $421 601 coins $1,167 1,667 coins 2.77x 2026-11-06 11:46 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=galaxy) [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $421 601 coins $333 476 coins 0.79x 2026-11-11 21:46 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $421 601 coins $421 602 coins 1.00x 2026-11-11 21:46 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $421 601 coins $556 794 coins 1.32x 2026-11-11 21:46 UTC [Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $421 601 coins $7.64 10.91 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:46 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $421 601 coins $382 546 coins 0.91x 2026-11-11 21:46 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) [Mr.Yodoc](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Mr.Yodoc) $421 601 coins $882 1,260 coins 2.10x 2026-11-11 21:46 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $421 601 coins $579 828 coins 1.38x 2026-11-11 10:08 UTC [Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) [bradbeloved](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/bradbeloved) $421 601 coins $7.64 10.91 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $421 601 coins $333 476 coins 0.79x 2026-11-10 20:48 UTC [Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $421 601 coins $7.64 10.91 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 20:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $6,231 (14.82x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt