--- title: "Gargoyle case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Gargoyle ($3.23) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.95% over 1,550 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gargoyle rendered: 2026-11-11T20:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Gargoyle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gargoyle) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Gargoyle A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gargoyle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gargoyle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gargoyle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gargoyle?window=all) Price · $3.23 · 4.61 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.95% · 1,550 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 340 openings · below min 7 days · 86.77% ±4.77 1,263 openings 30 days · 87.95% ±4.32 1,550 openings since tracking started · 87.95% ±4.32 1,550 openings 81.5% 93.8% 106.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gargoyle?window=24h) | 340 | 95.68% ±9.89 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gargoyle?window=7d) | 1,263 | 86.77% ±4.77 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gargoyle) | 1,550 | 87.95% ±4.32 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gargoyle?window=all) | 1,550 | 87.95% ±4.32 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=gargoyle) [AWP | PAW (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-factory-new) Hidden $3.23 4.61 coins $6.58 9.4 coins 2.04x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.23 4.61 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.23 4.61 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-factory-new) Hidden $3.23 4.61 coins $8.82 12.6 coins 2.73x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.23 4.61 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-minimal-wear) [toliksbadass](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/toliksbadass) $3.23 4.61 coins $3.90 5.57 coins 1.21x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.23 4.61 coins $0.28 0.4 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [AWP | PAW (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-factory-new) Hidden $3.23 4.61 coins $6.58 9.4 coins 2.04x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [AWP | Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) Hidden $3.23 4.61 coins $1.48 2.11 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Exo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-exo-factory-new) Hidden $3.23 4.61 coins $1.05 1.5 coins 0.33x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.95 on average: an expected loss of $12.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt