--- title: "Get Lucky case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Get Lucky ($7.66) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.87% over 32K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/get-lucky rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Get Lucky](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/get-lucky) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Get Lucky A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/get-lucky?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/get-lucky?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/get-lucky) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/get-lucky?window=all) Price · $7.66 · 10.94 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.87% · 32K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 124.88% ±31.85 3,734 openings 7 days · 89.92% ±7.80 26K openings 30 days · 88.87% ±6.85 32K openings since tracking started · 88.87% ±6.85 32K openings 81.5% 119.5% 157.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/get-lucky?window=24h) | 3,734 | 124.88% ±31.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/get-lucky?window=7d) | 26K | 89.92% ±7.80 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/get-lucky) | 32K | 88.87% ±6.85 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/get-lucky?window=all) | 32K | 88.87% ±6.85 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $1,987 2,839 coins 259.5x 2026-11-11 10:07 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $1,987 2,839 coins 259.5x 2026-11-11 09:50 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $1,987 2,839 coins 259.5x 2026-11-10 23:16 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $1,987 2,839 coins 259.5x 2026-11-10 20:24 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $1,987 2,839 coins 259.5x 2026-11-10 18:12 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $1,987 2,839 coins 259.5x 2026-11-09 19:54 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $1,987 2,839 coins 259.5x 2026-11-08 04:09 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $1,987 2,839 coins 259.5x 2026-11-08 01:35 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $1,987 2,839 coins 259.5x 2026-11-07 23:35 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $1,987 2,839 coins 259.5x 2026-11-07 19:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=get-lucky) [AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) [nightshift](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/nightshift) $7.66 10.94 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.66 10.94 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,987 (259.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.87 on average: an expected loss of $11.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt