--- title: "Global case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Global ($16.78) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.62% over 57.7K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/global rendered: 2026-11-11T21:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Global](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/global) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Global A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/global?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/global?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/global) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/global?window=all) Price · $16.78 · 23.97 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.62% · 57.7K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 89.30% ±24.52 5,561 openings 7 days · 86.21% ±8.32 45.8K openings 30 days · 85.62% ±7.39 57.7K openings since tracking started · 85.62% ±7.39 57.7K openings 64.0% 89.3% 114.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/global?window=24h) | 5,561 | 89.30% ±24.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/global?window=7d) | 45.8K | 86.21% ±8.32 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/global) | 57.7K | 85.62% ±7.39 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/global?window=all) | 57.7K | 85.62% ±7.39 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $2,432 3,475 coins 145.0x 2026-11-10 22:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $2,432 3,475 coins 145.0x 2026-11-10 22:12 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $2,432 3,475 coins 145.0x 2026-11-10 19:48 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $2,432 3,475 coins 145.0x 2026-11-09 18:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $2,432 3,475 coins 145.0x 2026-11-09 04:30 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $2,432 3,475 coins 145.0x 2026-11-08 22:35 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $2,356 3,366 coins 140.4x 2026-11-10 12:54 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $2,356 3,366 coins 140.4x 2026-11-09 19:00 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $2,356 3,366 coins 140.4x 2026-11-09 09:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) [ludopoker08](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ludopoker08) $16.78 23.97 coins $2,356 3,366 coins 140.4x 2026-11-08 05:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=global) [Sticker | Global Elite sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [Sticker | Global Elite sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [Sticker | Global Elite sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [Sticker | Global Elite sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [Sticker | Global Elite sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [Sticker | Global Elite sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite) [wizzy 🥵](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/wizzy%20%F0%9F%A5%B5) $16.78 23.97 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [Sticker | Global Elite sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [Sticker | Global Elite sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [Sticker | Global Elite sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [Sticker | Global Elite sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite) Hidden $16.78 23.97 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,432 (145.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.62 on average: an expected loss of $14.38 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt