--- title: "Grass Greener case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Grass Greener ($209.93) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 104.28% over 108 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grass-greener rendered: 2026-11-12T04:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Grass Greener](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grass-greener) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Grass Greener A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grass-greener?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grass-greener?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grass-greener) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grass-greener?window=all) Price · $209.93 · 300 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 104.28% · 108 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 20 openings · below min 7 days · 74 openings · below min 30 days · 108 openings · below min since tracking started · 108 openings · below min 50.0% 90.5% 131.0% **Small sample.** 108 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grass-greener?window=24h) | 20 | 76.17% ±25.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grass-greener?window=7d) | 74 | 97.68% ±24.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grass-greener) | 108 | 104.28% ±25.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grass-greener?window=all) | 108 | 104.28% ±25.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $210 300 coins $1,715 2,450 coins 8.17x 2026-11-07 18:39 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $210 300 coins $1,715 2,450 coins 8.17x 2026-11-04 23:02 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $210 300 coins $1,715 2,450 coins 8.17x 2026-11-03 17:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=grass-greener) [CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-factory-new) Hidden $210 300 coins $79.90 114 coins 0.38x 2026-11-12 00:29 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-field-tested) Hidden $210 300 coins $140 201 coins 0.67x 2026-11-12 00:29 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-factory-new) Hidden $210 300 coins $3.81 5.44 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 00:29 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-field-tested) Hidden $210 300 coins $140 201 coins 0.67x 2026-11-12 00:29 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) Hidden $210 300 coins $69.20 98.85 coins 0.33x 2026-11-12 00:29 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) [joonXO](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/joonXO) $210 300 coins $243 347 coins 1.16x 2026-11-12 00:29 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-factory-new) Hidden $210 300 coins $3.81 5.44 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 00:28 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-factory-new) Hidden $210 300 coins $79.90 114 coins 0.38x 2026-11-12 00:28 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-factory-new) Hidden $210 300 coins $79.90 114 coins 0.38x 2026-11-12 00:28 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-battle-scarred) Hidden $210 300 coins $188 268 coins 0.89x 2026-11-12 00:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,715 (8.17x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 104.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $104.28 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt