--- title: "Griefer case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Griefer ($31.49) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.67% over 517 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/griefer rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Griefer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/griefer) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Griefer A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/griefer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/griefer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/griefer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/griefer?window=all) Price · $31.49 · 44.98 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.67% · 517 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 46 openings · below min 7 days · 426 openings · below min 30 days · 517 openings · below min since tracking started · 517 openings · below min 66.0% 128.5% 191.0% **Small sample.** 517 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/griefer?window=24h) | 46 | 128.37% ±61.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/griefer?window=7d) | 426 | 97.48% ±18.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/griefer) | 517 | 93.67% ±15.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/griefer?window=all) | 517 | 93.67% ±15.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=griefer) [Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-well-worn) Hidden $31.49 44.98 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:36 UTC [M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.49 44.98 coins $17.62 25.17 coins 0.56x 2026-11-10 21:36 UTC [Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-well-worn) [Marjohplays](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Marjohplays) $31.49 44.98 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:36 UTC [MAC-10 | Rangeen (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-rangeen-field-tested) Hidden $31.49 44.98 coins $0.17 0.25 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 21:26 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hot Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hot-shot-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.49 44.98 coins $3.85 5.5 coins 0.12x 2026-11-10 21:26 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) [Marjohplays](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Marjohplays) $31.49 44.98 coins $189 270 coins 6.01x 2026-11-10 21:26 UTC [M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.49 44.98 coins $17.62 25.17 coins 0.56x 2026-11-10 19:10 UTC [Galil AR | Phoenix Blacklight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-phoenix-blacklight-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.49 44.98 coins $45.81 65.44 coins 1.45x 2026-11-10 19:10 UTC [MAC-10 | Rangeen (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-rangeen-field-tested) Hidden $31.49 44.98 coins $0.17 0.25 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.49 44.98 coins $17.62 25.17 coins 0.56x 2026-11-10 19:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.67 on average: an expected loss of $6.33 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt