--- title: "Grim case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Grim ($264.18) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.30% over 1,820 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grim rendered: 2026-11-11T13:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Grim](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grim) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Grim A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grim?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grim?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grim) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grim?window=all) Price · $264.18 · 377 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 83.30% · 1,820 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 476 openings · below min 7 days · 84.39% ±11.88 1,585 openings 30 days · 83.30% ±11.49 1,820 openings since tracking started · 83.30% ±11.49 1,820 openings 52.0% 74.5% 97.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grim?window=24h) | 476 | 68.47% ±15.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grim?window=7d) | 1,585 | 84.39% ±11.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grim) | 1,820 | 83.30% ±11.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/grim?window=all) | 1,820 | 83.30% ±11.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $264 377 coins $11.3K 16,158 coins 42.81x 2026-11-06 21:06 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $264 377 coins $11.3K 16,158 coins 42.81x 2026-11-04 15:17 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $264 377 coins $11.3K 16,158 coins 42.81x 2026-11-03 20:47 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $264 377 coins $5,896 8,424 coins 22.32x 2026-11-05 13:23 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $264 377 coins $5,896 8,424 coins 22.32x 2026-11-04 15:09 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) Hidden $264 377 coins $3,702 5,289 coins 14.01x 2026-11-10 23:58 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) [I Identify as a Helicop](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/I%20Identify%20as%20a%20Helicop) $264 377 coins $3,702 5,289 coins 14.01x 2026-11-10 19:52 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) Hidden $264 377 coins $3,702 5,289 coins 14.01x 2026-11-05 01:19 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) Hidden $264 377 coins $3,702 5,289 coins 14.01x 2026-11-04 15:18 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-well-worn) Hidden $264 377 coins $3,346 4,780 coins 12.67x 2026-11-10 17:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=grim) [Sticker | Grim (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-grim-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $264 377 coins $1.57 2.24 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC [Sticker | Grim (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-grim-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $264 377 coins $1.57 2.24 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC [Sticker | Grim (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-grim-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $264 377 coins $1.57 2.24 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $264 377 coins $311 445 coins 1.18x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC [Sticker | Grim (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-grim-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $264 377 coins $1.57 2.24 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC [Sticker | Grim (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-grim-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $264 377 coins $1.57 2.24 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC [Sticker | Grim (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-grim-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $264 377 coins $1.57 2.24 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC [Sticker | Grim (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-grim-gold-antwerp-2022) [julsy](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/julsy) $264 377 coins $1.57 2.24 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC [Sticker | Grim (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-grim-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $264 377 coins $1.57 2.24 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:01 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $264 377 coins $614 877 coins 2.32x 2026-11-11 12:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $11.3K (42.81x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.30 on average: an expected loss of $16.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt