--- title: "Gumbo case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Gumbo ($38.49) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 97.00% over 746 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gumbo rendered: 2026-11-11T21:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Gumbo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gumbo) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Gumbo A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gumbo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gumbo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gumbo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gumbo?window=all) Price · $38.49 · 54.98 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 97.00% · 746 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 46 openings · below min 7 days · 599 openings · below min 30 days · 746 openings · below min since tracking started · 746 openings · below min 52.5% 108.5% 164.5% **Small sample.** 746 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gumbo?window=24h) | 46 | 108.49% ±55.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gumbo?window=7d) | 599 | 103.95% ±19.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gumbo) | 746 | 97.00% ±16.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gumbo?window=all) | 746 | 97.00% ±16.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $38.49 54.98 coins $980 1,401 coins 25.48x 2026-11-10 18:32 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $38.49 54.98 coins $521 744 coins 13.54x 2026-11-09 15:02 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $38.49 54.98 coins $521 744 coins 13.54x 2026-11-08 18:44 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $38.49 54.98 coins $521 744 coins 13.54x 2026-11-07 04:24 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $38.49 54.98 coins $521 744 coins 13.54x 2026-11-06 03:28 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $38.49 54.98 coins $521 744 coins 13.54x 2026-11-05 02:25 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [POTATO](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/POTATO) $38.49 54.98 coins $521 744 coins 13.54x 2026-11-05 01:33 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=gumbo) [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) Hidden $38.49 54.98 coins $35.87 51.24 coins 0.93x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $38.49 54.98 coins $246 351 coins 6.39x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [Dual Berettas | Duelist (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.49 54.98 coins $129 185 coins 3.36x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Oops (War Pig Pink) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-oops-war-pig-pink) Hidden $38.49 54.98 coins $0.42 0.6 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-glitter-antwerp-2022) Hidden $38.49 54.98 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [Dual Berettas | Duelist (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.49 54.98 coins $129 185 coins 3.36x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) Hidden $38.49 54.98 coins $35.87 51.24 coins 0.93x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [AUG | Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) [👑BL4CKE](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%F0%9F%91%91BL4CKE) $38.49 54.98 coins $0.45 0.65 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-glitter-antwerp-2022) Hidden $38.49 54.98 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:59 UTC [Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-cerberus-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.49 54.98 coins $84.06 120 coins 2.18x 2026-11-11 20:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $980 (25.48x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 97.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $97.00 on average: an expected loss of $3.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt