--- title: "Gxlden case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Gxlden ($21.53) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.33% over 7,043 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gxlden rendered: 2026-11-11T16:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Gxlden](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gxlden) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Gxlden A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gxlden?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gxlden?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gxlden) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gxlden?window=all) Price · $21.53 · 30.75 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.33% · 7,043 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 618 openings · below min 7 days · 81.45% ±11.41 5,282 openings 30 days · 85.33% ±11.19 7,043 openings since tracking started · 85.33% ±11.19 7,043 openings 36.0% 66.5% 97.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gxlden?window=24h) | 618 | 65.67% ±28.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gxlden?window=7d) | 5,282 | 81.45% ±11.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gxlden) | 7,043 | 85.33% ±11.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/gxlden?window=all) | 7,043 | 85.33% ±11.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $4,158 5,939 coins 193.2x 2026-11-04 14:18 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $1,372 1,960 coins 63.74x 2026-11-11 16:52 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $1,372 1,960 coins 63.74x 2026-11-10 11:20 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $1,372 1,960 coins 63.74x 2026-11-09 23:01 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $1,372 1,960 coins 63.74x 2026-11-08 04:50 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) [thegoat4201](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/thegoat4201) $21.53 30.75 coins $1,372 1,960 coins 63.74x 2026-11-07 04:11 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $1,372 1,960 coins 63.74x 2026-11-06 22:02 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $1,372 1,960 coins 63.74x 2026-11-06 12:42 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $1,372 1,960 coins 63.74x 2026-11-06 06:05 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $1,372 1,960 coins 63.74x 2026-11-05 06:00 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=gxlden) [MP9 | Bulldozer (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-well-worn) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $64.72 92.45 coins 3.01x 2026-11-11 16:52 UTC [MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $99.71 142 coins 4.63x 2026-11-11 16:52 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | King Me (Tracer Yellow) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-king-me-tracer-yellow) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:52 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $1,372 1,960 coins 63.74x 2026-11-11 16:52 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | King Me (Tracer Yellow) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-king-me-tracer-yellow) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:52 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | King Me (Tracer Yellow) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-king-me-tracer-yellow) [Geld](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Geld) $21.53 30.75 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:52 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Crown graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-crown) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $1.95 2.78 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Crown graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-crown) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $1.95 2.78 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | King Me (Tracer Yellow) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-king-me-tracer-yellow) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | King Me (Tracer Yellow) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-king-me-tracer-yellow) Hidden $21.53 30.75 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $4,158 (193.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.33 on average: an expected loss of $14.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt