--- title: "Happy Hour case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Happy Hour ($4.24) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.25% over 92.2K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/happy-hour rendered: 2026-11-11T13:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Happy Hour](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/happy-hour) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Happy Hour A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/happy-hour?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/happy-hour?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/happy-hour) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/happy-hour?window=all) Price · $4.24 · 6.06 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.25% · 92.2K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 82.09% ±17.76 10.5K openings 7 days · 86.90% ±6.59 76.4K openings 30 days · 87.25% ±6.04 92.2K openings since tracking started · 87.25% ±6.04 92.2K openings 63.5% 82.0% 100.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/happy-hour?window=24h) | 10.5K | 82.09% ±17.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/happy-hour?window=7d) | 76.4K | 86.90% ±6.59 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/happy-hour) | 92.2K | 87.25% ±6.04 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/happy-hour?window=all) | 92.2K | 87.25% ±6.04 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [espio0n](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/espio0n) $4.24 6.06 coins $1,791 2,559 coins 422.3x 2026-11-10 22:36 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $1,791 2,559 coins 422.3x 2026-11-09 19:24 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $1,164 1,663 coins 274.4x 2026-11-10 18:04 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $1,164 1,663 coins 274.4x 2026-11-10 02:12 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $1,164 1,663 coins 274.4x 2026-11-09 18:05 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $1,164 1,663 coins 274.4x 2026-11-09 13:40 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $1,164 1,663 coins 274.4x 2026-11-09 08:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $1,164 1,663 coins 274.4x 2026-11-07 06:55 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $1,164 1,663 coins 274.4x 2026-11-06 06:31 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $1,164 1,663 coins 274.4x 2026-11-04 14:51 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=happy-hour) [Sealed Graffiti | Happy Cat (Battle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-happy-cat-battle-green) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $0.15 0.21 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Happy Cat (Battle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-happy-cat-battle-green) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $0.15 0.21 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Happy Cat (Battle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-happy-cat-battle-green) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $0.15 0.21 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Happy Cat (Battle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-happy-cat-battle-green) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $0.15 0.21 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Happy Cat (Battle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-happy-cat-battle-green) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $0.15 0.21 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Happy Cat (Battle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-happy-cat-battle-green) [TITANTAZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/TITANTAZ) $4.24 6.06 coins $0.15 0.21 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Happy Cat (Battle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-happy-cat-battle-green) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $0.15 0.21 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Happy Cat (Battle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-happy-cat-battle-green) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $0.15 0.21 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Happy Cat (Battle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-happy-cat-battle-green) [TITANTAZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/TITANTAZ) $4.24 6.06 coins $0.15 0.21 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Happy Cat (Battle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-happy-cat-battle-green) Hidden $4.24 6.06 coins $0.15 0.21 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,791 (422.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.25 on average: an expected loss of $12.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt