--- title: "Headed case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Headed ($28.33) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 101.13% over 9,458 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/headed rendered: 2026-11-11T13:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Headed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/headed) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Headed A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/headed?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/headed?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/headed) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/headed?window=all) Price · $28.33 · 40.47 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 101.13% · 9,458 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 888 openings · below min 7 days · 96.91% ±28.19 7,284 openings 30 days · 101.13% ±29.31 9,458 openings since tracking started · 101.13% ±29.31 9,458 openings 36.5% 83.8% 131.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/headed?window=24h) | 888 | 59.77% ±22.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/headed?window=7d) | 7,284 | 96.91% ±28.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/headed) | 9,458 | 101.13% ±29.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/headed?window=all) | 9,458 | 101.13% ±29.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $25.5K 36,427 coins 900.1x 2026-11-09 16:14 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $25.5K 36,427 coins 900.1x 2026-11-03 04:57 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $5,472 7,817 coins 193.2x 2026-11-10 12:41 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $5,472 7,817 coins 193.2x 2026-11-07 02:38 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $5,472 7,817 coins 193.2x 2026-11-06 15:27 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $5,472 7,817 coins 193.2x 2026-11-06 15:26 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $5,472 7,817 coins 193.2x 2026-11-05 06:20 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $5,472 7,817 coins 193.2x 2026-11-03 06:35 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $5,472 7,817 coins 193.2x 2026-11-03 06:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $1,585 2,264 coins 55.95x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=headed) [Sticker | Rat Pack sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rat-pack) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [Sticker | Rat Pack sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rat-pack) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [Sticker | Rat Pack sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rat-pack) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [Sticker | Rat Pack sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rat-pack) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $121 173 coins 4.28x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [Sticker | Rat Pack sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rat-pack) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [Sticker | Rat Pack sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rat-pack) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [Sticker | Rat Pack sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rat-pack) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [Sticker | Rat Pack sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rat-pack) [EkiHolic](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/EkiHolic) $28.33 40.47 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [Sticker | Rat Pack sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rat-pack) Hidden $28.33 40.47 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $25.5K (900.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 101.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $101.13 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt