--- title: "Heads or Tails case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Heads or Tails ($1.23) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.85% over 3,230 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heads-or-tails rendered: 2026-11-11T18:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Heads or Tails](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heads-or-tails) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Heads or Tails A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heads-or-tails?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heads-or-tails?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heads-or-tails) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heads-or-tails?window=all) Price · $1.23 · 1.76 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.85% · 3,230 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 509 openings · below min 7 days · 90.57% ±3.40 2,676 openings 30 days · 89.85% ±3.08 3,230 openings since tracking started · 89.85% ±3.08 3,230 openings 76.5% 85.5% 94.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heads-or-tails?window=24h) | 509 | 85.17% ±7.83 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heads-or-tails?window=7d) | 2,676 | 90.57% ±3.40 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heads-or-tails) | 3,230 | 89.85% ±3.08 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heads-or-tails?window=all) | 3,230 | 89.85% ±3.08 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=heads-or-tails) [Sticker | Killjoy sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-killjoy) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $0.68 0.97 coins 0.55x 2026-11-11 18:36 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $2.83 4.04 coins 2.30x 2026-11-11 18:36 UTC [Glock-18 | Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-minimal-wear) [Löysä](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/L%C3%B6ys%C3%A4) $1.23 1.76 coins $2.64 3.77 coins 2.14x 2026-11-11 18:36 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $0.68 0.97 coins 0.55x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC [Sticker | GamerLegion (Glitter) | Paris 2023 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-glitter-paris-2023) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $0.08 0.12 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC [MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sand-dune-field-tested) [Löysä](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/L%C3%B6ys%C3%A4) $1.23 1.76 coins $0.99 1.42 coins 0.81x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC [Sticker | GamerLegion (Glitter) | Paris 2023 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-glitter-paris-2023) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $0.08 0.12 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC [Sticker | GamerLegion (Glitter) | Paris 2023 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-glitter-paris-2023) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $0.08 0.12 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC [Sticker | GamerLegion (Glitter) | Paris 2023 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-glitter-paris-2023) [Löysä](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/L%C3%B6ys%C3%A4) $1.23 1.76 coins $0.08 0.12 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC [Glock-18 | Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $2.64 3.77 coins 2.14x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.85 on average: an expected loss of $10.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt