--- title: "Heater case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Heater ($6.16) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 95.13% over 6,518 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heater rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Heater](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heater) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Heater A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heater?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heater?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heater) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heater?window=all) Price · $6.16 · 8.8 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 95.13% · 6,518 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 556 openings · below min 7 days · 95.83% ±12.01 5,558 openings 30 days · 95.13% ±10.50 6,518 openings since tracking started · 95.13% ±10.50 6,518 openings 52.0% 80.3% 108.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heater?window=24h) | 556 | 79.64% ±27.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heater?window=7d) | 5,558 | 95.83% ±12.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heater) | 6,518 | 95.13% ±10.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heater?window=all) | 6,518 | 95.13% ±10.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Wtsb-9f905c](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Wtsb-9f905c) $6.16 8.8 coins $917 1,310 coins 148.9x 2026-11-05 22:56 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Parlament100s🗿](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Parlament100s%F0%9F%97%BF) $6.16 8.8 coins $917 1,310 coins 148.9x 2026-11-05 02:35 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $689 984 coins 111.9x 2026-11-08 18:33 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $584 834 coins 94.76x 2026-11-06 12:56 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $389 556 coins 63.17x 2026-11-08 08:30 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $389 556 coins 63.17x 2026-11-04 17:49 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $389 556 coins 63.15x 2026-11-10 22:33 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $389 556 coins 63.15x 2026-11-09 02:27 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $389 556 coins 63.15x 2026-11-06 10:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=heater) [Souvenir USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-check-engine-factory-new) Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $13.90 19.85 coins 2.26x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-brick-red) Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-brick-red) Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-factory-new) Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $24.18 34.54 coins 3.92x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-brick-red) Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-brick-red) Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-brick-red) Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-brick-red) Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-brick-red) [Lirrewye](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Lirrewye) $6.16 8.8 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $79.22 113 coins 12.86x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $917 (148.9x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 95.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $95.13 on average: an expected loss of $4.87 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt