--- title: "Hells Itch case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hells Itch ($1.39) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.33% over 26.4K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hells-itch rendered: 2026-11-11T14:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Hells Itch](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hells-itch) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Hells Itch A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hells-itch?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hells-itch?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hells-itch) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hells-itch?window=all) Price · $1.39 · 1.98 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.33% · 26.4K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.11% ±12.77 3,140 openings 7 days · 86.37% ±4.60 20.7K openings 30 days · 88.33% ±4.56 26.4K openings since tracking started · 88.33% ±4.56 26.4K openings 73.5% 87.0% 100.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hells-itch?window=24h) | 3,140 | 87.11% ±12.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hells-itch?window=7d) | 20.7K | 86.37% ±4.60 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hells-itch) | 26.4K | 88.33% ±4.56 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hells-itch?window=all) | 26.4K | 88.33% ±4.56 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $192 274 coins 138.4x 2026-11-10 16:02 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $192 274 coins 138.4x 2026-11-07 18:01 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $192 274 coins 138.4x 2026-11-06 17:21 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $192 274 coins 138.4x 2026-11-06 01:28 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) [alkoblokas](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/alkoblokas) $1.39 1.98 coins $192 274 coins 138.4x 2026-11-05 17:56 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $192 274 coins 138.4x 2026-11-04 09:52 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $192 274 coins 138.4x 2026-11-04 07:01 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $192 274 coins 138.4x 2026-11-04 04:09 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $192 274 coins 138.4x 2026-11-04 00:25 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $192 274 coins 138.4x 2026-11-03 10:39 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=hells-itch) [MAG-7 | Heat (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-well-worn) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 14:12 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Sunbaked (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-sunbaked-factory-new) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $0.24 0.34 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:12 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Sunbaked (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-sunbaked-factory-new) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $0.24 0.34 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:12 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Sunbaked (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-sunbaked-factory-new) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $0.24 0.34 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:12 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Sunbaked (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-sunbaked-factory-new) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $0.24 0.34 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:12 UTC [Sticker | suNny | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sunny-london-2018) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $0.27 0.38 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 14:12 UTC [Sticker | suNny | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sunny-london-2018) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $0.27 0.38 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 14:12 UTC [MAG-7 | Heat (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-well-worn) [Delusion](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Delusion) $1.39 1.98 coins $0.21 0.3 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 14:12 UTC [Sticker | suNny | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sunny-london-2018) [XiefuSY](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/XiefuSY) $1.39 1.98 coins $0.27 0.38 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 14:10 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Sunbaked (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-sunbaked-factory-new) Hidden $1.39 1.98 coins $0.24 0.34 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $192 (138.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.33 on average: an expected loss of $11.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt