--- title: "High Impact case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "High Impact ($27.20) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.02% over 6,690 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/high-impact rendered: 2026-11-12T16:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [High Impact](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/high-impact) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · High Impact A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/high-impact?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/high-impact?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/high-impact) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/high-impact?window=all) Price · $27.20 · 38.86 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 92.02% · 6,690 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 539 openings · below min 7 days · 90.49% ±7.43 4,623 openings 30 days · 92.02% ±6.37 6,690 openings since tracking started · 92.02% ±6.37 6,690 openings 65.0% 90.3% 115.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/high-impact?window=24h) | 539 | 90.24% ±24.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/high-impact?window=7d) | 4,623 | 90.49% ±7.43 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/high-impact) | 6,690 | 92.02% ±6.37 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/high-impact?window=all) | 6,690 | 92.02% ±6.37 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Glock-18 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.20 38.86 coins $1,235 1,764 coins 45.40x 2026-11-06 05:00 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) [BLURRRRRRR](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/BLURRRRRRR) $27.20 38.86 coins $1,235 1,764 coins 45.40x 2026-11-03 19:45 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-bullet-rain-battle-scarred) Hidden $27.20 38.86 coins $1,040 1,486 coins 38.23x 2026-11-11 14:16 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-bullet-rain-battle-scarred) Hidden $27.20 38.86 coins $1,040 1,486 coins 38.23x 2026-11-05 19:38 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [makariBRO](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/makariBRO) $27.20 38.86 coins $1,011 1,445 coins 37.17x 2026-11-12 01:47 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [makariBRO](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/makariBRO) $27.20 38.86 coins $1,011 1,445 coins 37.17x 2026-11-12 01:18 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $27.20 38.86 coins $1,011 1,445 coins 37.17x 2026-11-05 20:35 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $27.20 38.86 coins $1,011 1,445 coins 37.17x 2026-11-05 07:16 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $27.20 38.86 coins $1,011 1,445 coins 37.17x 2026-11-05 06:18 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $27.20 38.86 coins $1,000 1,429 coins 36.77x 2026-11-08 13:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=high-impact) [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-berlin-2019) Hidden $27.20 38.86 coins $11.50 16.43 coins 0.42x 2026-11-12 15:40 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-berlin-2019) Hidden $27.20 38.86 coins $11.50 16.43 coins 0.42x 2026-11-12 15:40 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-berlin-2019) Hidden $27.20 38.86 coins $11.50 16.43 coins 0.42x 2026-11-12 15:40 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-berlin-2019) Hidden $27.20 38.86 coins $11.50 16.43 coins 0.42x 2026-11-12 15:40 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-berlin-2019) Hidden $27.20 38.86 coins $11.50 16.43 coins 0.42x 2026-11-12 15:40 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-berlin-2019) [mongral](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/mongral) $27.20 38.86 coins $11.50 16.43 coins 0.42x 2026-11-12 15:40 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-berlin-2019) Hidden $27.20 38.86 coins $11.50 16.43 coins 0.42x 2026-11-12 15:07 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-berlin-2019) Hidden $27.20 38.86 coins $11.50 16.43 coins 0.42x 2026-11-12 15:07 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-berlin-2019) Hidden $27.20 38.86 coins $11.50 16.43 coins 0.42x 2026-11-12 15:07 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-berlin-2019) Hidden $27.20 38.86 coins $11.50 16.43 coins 0.42x 2026-11-12 15:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,235 (45.40x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.02 on average: an expected loss of $7.98 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt