--- title: "Hologram case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hologram ($7.57) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.55% over 30.5K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hologram rendered: 2026-11-11T19:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Hologram](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hologram) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Hologram A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hologram?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hologram?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hologram) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hologram?window=all) Price · $7.57 · 10.82 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.55% · 30.5K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 102.64% ±12.17 4,171 openings 7 days · 92.96% ±4.78 24.5K openings 30 days · 90.55% ±4.15 30.5K openings since tracking started · 90.55% ±4.15 30.5K openings 86.0% 100.8% 115.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hologram?window=24h) | 4,171 | 102.64% ±12.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hologram?window=7d) | 24.5K | 92.96% ±4.78 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hologram) | 30.5K | 90.55% ±4.15 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hologram?window=all) | 30.5K | 90.55% ±4.15 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=hologram) [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.57 10.82 coins $32.82 46.88 coins 4.33x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) Hidden $7.57 10.82 coins $1.10 1.57 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) Hidden $7.57 10.82 coins $1.10 1.57 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) [ITachi](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ITachi) $7.57 10.82 coins $1.10 1.57 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) Hidden $7.57 10.82 coins $1.10 1.57 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:46 UTC [AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) Hidden $7.57 10.82 coins $1.10 1.57 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:46 UTC [AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) [Black Amy](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Black%20Amy) $7.57 10.82 coins $1.10 1.57 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:46 UTC [AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) Hidden $7.57 10.82 coins $1.10 1.57 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:46 UTC [AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) Hidden $7.57 10.82 coins $1.10 1.57 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:46 UTC [AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) [Aviel](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Aviel) $7.57 10.82 coins $1.10 1.57 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.55 on average: an expected loss of $9.45 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt