--- title: "Hoops case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hoops ($20.40) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.39% over 20.1K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hoops rendered: 2026-11-11T22:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Hoops](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hoops) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Hoops A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hoops?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hoops?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hoops) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hoops?window=all) Price · $20.40 · 29.14 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 81.39% · 20.1K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 63.61% ±17.34 2,374 openings 7 days · 80.03% ±8.86 14.6K openings 30 days · 81.39% ±7.54 20.1K openings since tracking started · 81.39% ±7.54 20.1K openings 45.5% 67.5% 89.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hoops?window=24h) | 2,374 | 63.61% ±17.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hoops?window=7d) | 14.6K | 80.03% ±8.86 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hoops) | 20.1K | 81.39% ±7.54 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hoops?window=all) | 20.1K | 81.39% ±7.54 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $2,472 3,532 coins 121.2x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $2,472 3,532 coins 121.2x 2026-11-06 16:22 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $2,111 3,016 coins 103.5x 2026-11-05 18:19 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $1,943 2,776 coins 95.27x 2026-11-09 12:12 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $1,943 2,776 coins 95.27x 2026-11-09 00:16 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $1,943 2,776 coins 95.27x 2026-11-07 05:48 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) [eLectRo-](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/eLectRo-) $20.40 29.14 coins $1,943 2,776 coins 95.27x 2026-11-06 06:31 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $1,943 2,776 coins 95.27x 2026-11-03 07:41 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $1,820 2,599 coins 89.21x 2026-11-10 15:32 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $1,820 2,599 coins 89.21x 2026-11-06 19:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=hoops) [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-swat-blue) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:58 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-swat-blue) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:58 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-swat-blue) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:58 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-swat-blue) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:58 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-swat-blue) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:58 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-swat-blue) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:58 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-swat-blue) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:58 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-swat-blue) [Freaky](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Freaky) $20.40 29.14 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:58 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-swat-blue) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:51 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-swat-blue) Hidden $20.40 29.14 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,472 (121.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.39 on average: an expected loss of $18.61 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt