--- title: "Hqteful case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hqteful ($12.33) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.22% over 3,302 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hqteful rendered: 2026-11-11T16:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Hqteful](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hqteful) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Hqteful A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hqteful?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hqteful?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hqteful) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hqteful?window=all) Price · $12.33 · 17.61 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.22% · 3,302 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 173 openings · below min 7 days · 90.69% ±8.69 2,694 openings 30 days · 89.22% ±8.00 3,302 openings since tracking started · 89.22% ±8.00 3,302 openings 67.0% 107.3% 147.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hqteful?window=24h) | 173 | 107.17% ±39.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hqteful?window=7d) | 2,694 | 90.69% ±8.69 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hqteful) | 3,302 | 89.22% ±8.00 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/hqteful?window=all) | 3,302 | 89.22% ±8.00 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $12.33 17.61 coins $551 788 coins 44.73x 2026-11-08 02:37 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=hqteful) [Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-red-quartz-factory-new) Hidden $12.33 17.61 coins $9.34 13.35 coins 0.76x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $12.33 17.61 coins $0.47 0.67 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC [Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-red-quartz-factory-new) Hidden $12.33 17.61 coins $9.34 13.35 coins 0.76x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC [Sticker | Ancient Protector sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-protector) Hidden $12.33 17.61 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit-blood-red) Hidden $12.33 17.61 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) [^Kajuha^](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%5EKajuha%5E) $12.33 17.61 coins $0.47 0.67 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) Hidden $12.33 17.61 coins $38.97 55.67 coins 3.16x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [Sticker | Ancient Protector sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-protector) Hidden $12.33 17.61 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Karambit (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-karambit-blood-red) Hidden $12.33 17.61 coins $0.03 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-factory-new) Hidden $12.33 17.61 coins $22.06 31.52 coins 1.79x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $551 (44.73x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.22 on average: an expected loss of $10.78 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt