--- title: "Iceberg case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Iceberg ($28.75) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 99.41% over 30.3K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/iceberg rendered: 2026-11-11T13:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Iceberg](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/iceberg) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Iceberg A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/iceberg?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/iceberg?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/iceberg) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/iceberg?window=all) Price · $28.75 · 41.07 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 99.41% · 30.3K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 132.03% ±45.44 3,939 openings 7 days · 101.81% ±15.16 24.4K openings 30 days · 99.41% ±13.25 30.3K openings since tracking started · 99.41% ±13.25 30.3K openings 85.5% 131.8% 178.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/iceberg?window=24h) | 3,939 | 132.03% ±45.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/iceberg?window=7d) | 24.4K | 101.81% ±15.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/iceberg) | 30.3K | 99.41% ±13.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/iceberg?window=all) | 30.3K | 99.41% ±13.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $28.75 41.07 coins $9,769 13,955 coins 339.8x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [rose-2fdbca](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/rose-2fdbca) $28.75 41.07 coins $9,769 13,955 coins 339.8x 2026-11-06 14:11 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $28.75 41.07 coins $9,769 13,955 coins 339.8x 2026-11-04 23:55 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $28.75 41.07 coins $9,769 13,955 coins 339.8x 2026-11-04 18:57 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $28.75 41.07 coins $9,650 13,785 coins 335.7x 2026-11-11 03:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $28.75 41.07 coins $9,650 13,785 coins 335.7x 2026-11-10 17:53 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $28.75 41.07 coins $9,650 13,785 coins 335.7x 2026-11-10 12:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Deffkha](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Deffkha) $28.75 41.07 coins $9,650 13,785 coins 335.7x 2026-11-07 18:20 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [ramanuks123](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ramanuks123) $28.75 41.07 coins $9,650 13,785 coins 335.7x 2026-11-06 22:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $28.75 41.07 coins $9,650 13,785 coins 335.7x 2026-11-04 21:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=iceberg) [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) Hidden $28.75 41.07 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) Hidden $28.75 41.07 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) Hidden $28.75 41.07 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) Hidden $28.75 41.07 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) Hidden $28.75 41.07 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) [DepDom](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/DepDom) $28.75 41.07 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) Hidden $28.75 41.07 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) Hidden $28.75 41.07 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) Hidden $28.75 41.07 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) Hidden $28.75 41.07 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $9,769 (339.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 99.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $99.41 on average: an expected loss of $0.59 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt