--- title: "Icy Hot case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Icy Hot ($213.90) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.11% over 248 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/icy-hot rendered: 2026-11-11T13:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Icy Hot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/icy-hot) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Icy Hot A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/icy-hot?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/icy-hot?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/icy-hot) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/icy-hot?window=all) Price · $213.90 · 306 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.11% · 248 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 210 openings · below min 30 days · 248 openings · below min since tracking started · 248 openings · below min 42.5% 91.0% 139.5% **Small sample.** 248 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/icy-hot?window=24h) | 24 | 91.08% ±48.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/icy-hot?window=7d) | 210 | 87.62% ±14.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/icy-hot) | 248 | 94.11% ±14.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/icy-hot?window=all) | 248 | 94.11% ±14.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $214 306 coins $916 1,308 coins 4.28x 2026-11-10 22:18 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $214 306 coins $916 1,308 coins 4.28x 2026-11-10 22:18 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $214 306 coins $916 1,308 coins 4.28x 2026-11-08 01:12 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $214 306 coins $916 1,308 coins 4.28x 2026-11-06 11:21 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $214 306 coins $916 1,308 coins 4.28x 2026-11-06 11:21 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $214 306 coins $916 1,308 coins 4.28x 2026-11-05 13:34 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $214 306 coins $916 1,308 coins 4.28x 2026-11-05 00:05 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $214 306 coins $916 1,308 coins 4.28x 2026-11-04 23:36 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Fuckss](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Fuckss) $214 306 coins $916 1,308 coins 4.28x 2026-11-04 18:53 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $214 306 coins $916 1,308 coins 4.28x 2026-11-04 00:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=icy-hot) [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $214 306 coins $9.57 13.67 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:19 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-well-worn) Hidden $214 306 coins $332 475 coins 1.55x 2026-11-10 22:19 UTC [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $214 306 coins $69.48 99.25 coins 0.32x 2026-11-10 22:19 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $214 306 coins $140 200 coins 0.66x 2026-11-10 22:19 UTC [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $214 306 coins $69.48 99.25 coins 0.32x 2026-11-10 22:19 UTC [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-minimal-wear) [swerve](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/swerve) $214 306 coins $69.48 99.25 coins 0.32x 2026-11-10 22:19 UTC [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $214 306 coins $69.48 99.25 coins 0.32x 2026-11-10 22:18 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $214 306 coins $140 200 coins 0.66x 2026-11-10 22:18 UTC [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $214 306 coins $69.48 99.25 coins 0.32x 2026-11-10 22:18 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $214 306 coins $140 200 coins 0.66x 2026-11-10 22:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $916 (4.28x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.11 on average: an expected loss of $5.89 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt