--- title: "imspencerrr case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "imspencerrr ($35.92) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 98.43% over 1,697 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/imspencerrr rendered: 2026-11-11T18:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [imspencerrr](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/imspencerrr) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · imspencerrr A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/imspencerrr?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/imspencerrr?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/imspencerrr) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/imspencerrr?window=all) Price · $35.92 · 51.31 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 98.43% · 1,697 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 96 openings · below min 7 days · 100.68% ±24.42 1,394 openings 30 days · 98.43% ±22.56 1,697 openings since tracking started · 98.43% ±22.56 1,697 openings 39.0% 82.5% 126.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/imspencerrr?window=24h) | 96 | 72.33% ±32.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/imspencerrr?window=7d) | 1,394 | 100.68% ±24.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/imspencerrr) | 1,697 | 98.43% ±22.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/imspencerrr?window=all) | 1,697 | 98.43% ±22.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $35.92 51.31 coins $3,113 4,447 coins 86.67x 2026-11-09 12:44 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $35.92 51.31 coins $3,113 4,447 coins 86.67x 2026-11-06 14:27 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [rile magic](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/rile%20magic) $35.92 51.31 coins $3,113 4,447 coins 86.67x 2026-11-04 20:09 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $35.92 51.31 coins $3,113 4,447 coins 86.67x 2026-11-03 13:12 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $35.92 51.31 coins $1,467 2,096 coins 40.85x 2026-11-06 17:40 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $35.92 51.31 coins $1,467 2,096 coins 40.85x 2026-11-06 17:18 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $35.92 51.31 coins $1,467 2,096 coins 40.85x 2026-11-05 00:33 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=imspencerrr) [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) Hidden $35.92 51.31 coins $33.51 47.87 coins 0.93x 2026-11-11 17:52 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) Hidden $35.92 51.31 coins $33.51 47.87 coins 0.93x 2026-11-11 17:52 UTC [Sticker | Adepta Sororitas sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-adepta-sororitas) Hidden $35.92 51.31 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:52 UTC [Sticker | Adepta Sororitas sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-adepta-sororitas) Hidden $35.92 51.31 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:52 UTC [Sticker | Adepta Sororitas sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-adepta-sororitas) Hidden $35.92 51.31 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:52 UTC [Sticker | Adepta Sororitas sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-adepta-sororitas) [return](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/return) $35.92 51.31 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:52 UTC [Sticker | Adepta Sororitas sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-adepta-sororitas) Hidden $35.92 51.31 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:44 UTC [Sticker | Adepta Sororitas sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-adepta-sororitas) Hidden $35.92 51.31 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $35.92 51.31 coins $70.92 101 coins 1.97x 2026-11-11 15:44 UTC [Sticker | Adepta Sororitas sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-adepta-sororitas) Hidden $35.92 51.31 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $3,113 (86.67x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 98.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $98.43 on average: an expected loss of $1.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt