--- title: "Inception case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Inception ($48.82) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.99% over 745 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/inception rendered: 2026-11-11T19:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Inception](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/inception) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Inception A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/inception?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/inception?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/inception) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/inception?window=all) Price · $48.82 · 69.75 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.99% · 745 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 64 openings · below min 7 days · 625 openings · below min 30 days · 745 openings · below min since tracking started · 745 openings · below min 26.5% 65.5% 104.5% **Small sample.** 745 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/inception?window=24h) | 64 | 60.60% ±33.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/inception?window=7d) | 625 | 83.57% ±17.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/inception) | 745 | 86.99% ±16.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/inception?window=all) | 745 | 86.99% ±16.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $48.82 69.75 coins $1,273 1,819 coins 26.08x 2026-11-10 04:40 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $48.82 69.75 coins $1,273 1,819 coins 26.08x 2026-11-06 08:06 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.82 69.75 coins $1,039 1,485 coins 21.29x 2026-11-03 21:48 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.82 69.75 coins $1,039 1,485 coins 21.29x 2026-11-02 23:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=inception) [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.82 69.75 coins $0.68 0.97 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:56 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.82 69.75 coins $0.68 0.97 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:56 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.82 69.75 coins $0.68 0.97 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:56 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.82 69.75 coins $0.68 0.97 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:56 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) Hidden $48.82 69.75 coins $301 430 coins 6.16x 2026-11-11 17:56 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-minimal-wear) [return](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/return) $48.82 69.75 coins $0.68 0.97 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:56 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.82 69.75 coins $0.68 0.97 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.82 69.75 coins $0.68 0.97 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Detour (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-detour-well-worn) Hidden $48.82 69.75 coins $3.09 4.42 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $48.82 69.75 coins $85.37 122 coins 1.75x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,273 (26.08x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.99 on average: an expected loss of $13.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt