--- title: "Infrared case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Infrared ($152.72) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.31% over 6,291 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/infrared rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Infrared](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/infrared) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Infrared A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/infrared?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/infrared?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/infrared) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/infrared?window=all) Price · $152.72 · 218 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.31% · 6,291 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 737 openings · below min 7 days · 85.18% ±9.16 5,019 openings 30 days · 84.31% ±8.12 6,291 openings since tracking started · 84.31% ±8.12 6,291 openings 66.5% 95.5% 124.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/infrared?window=24h) | 737 | 95.54% ±28.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/infrared?window=7d) | 5,019 | 85.18% ±9.16 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/infrared) | 6,291 | 84.31% ±8.12 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/infrared?window=all) | 6,291 | 84.31% ±8.12 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-well-worn) Hidden $153 218 coins $6,903 9,861 coins 45.20x 2026-11-10 20:38 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-well-worn) Hidden $153 218 coins $6,903 9,861 coins 45.20x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-well-worn) Hidden $153 218 coins $6,903 9,861 coins 45.20x 2026-11-04 08:36 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $153 218 coins $5,875 8,392 coins 38.47x 2026-11-10 22:51 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $153 218 coins $5,875 8,392 coins 38.47x 2026-11-06 09:31 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $153 218 coins $5,875 8,392 coins 38.47x 2026-11-05 09:21 UTC [Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $153 218 coins $5,222 7,460 coins 34.19x 2026-11-11 00:25 UTC [Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $153 218 coins $5,222 7,460 coins 34.19x 2026-11-09 08:26 UTC [Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $153 218 coins $5,222 7,460 coins 34.19x 2026-11-07 18:14 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $153 218 coins $4,683 6,691 coins 30.67x 2026-11-11 09:35 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=infrared) [Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-factory-new) Hidden $153 218 coins $40.61 58.01 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-factory-new) Hidden $153 218 coins $40.61 58.01 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-factory-new) Hidden $153 218 coins $40.61 58.01 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-factory-new) [Hiccupplayz](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Hiccupplayz) $153 218 coins $40.61 58.01 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-factory-new) Hidden $153 218 coins $40.61 58.01 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC [Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-factory-new) Hidden $153 218 coins $40.61 58.01 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC [Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-factory-new) Hidden $153 218 coins $40.61 58.01 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC [Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-factory-new) Hidden $153 218 coins $40.61 58.01 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC [Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-factory-new) Hidden $153 218 coins $40.61 58.01 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) [bradbeloved](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/bradbeloved) $153 218 coins $2,643 3,776 coins 17.31x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $6,903 (45.20x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.31 on average: an expected loss of $15.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt