--- title: "Island Life case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Island Life ($18.42) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.95% over 3,436 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/island-life rendered: 2026-11-11T19:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Island Life](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/island-life) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Island Life A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/island-life?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/island-life?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/island-life) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/island-life?window=all) Price · $18.42 · 26.31 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.95% · 3,436 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 143 openings · below min 7 days · 96.29% ±11.18 2,860 openings 30 days · 93.95% ±10.07 3,436 openings since tracking started · 93.95% ±10.07 3,436 openings 34.0% 71.0% 108.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/island-life?window=24h) | 143 | 63.19% ±28.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/island-life?window=7d) | 2,860 | 96.29% ±11.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/island-life) | 3,436 | 93.95% ±10.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/island-life?window=all) | 3,436 | 93.95% ±10.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $527 752 coins 28.60x 2026-11-09 12:45 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $527 752 coins 28.60x 2026-11-08 21:30 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $527 752 coins 28.60x 2026-11-08 19:53 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $527 752 coins 28.60x 2026-11-08 19:45 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $527 752 coins 28.60x 2026-11-07 18:26 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $527 752 coins 28.60x 2026-11-07 17:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $527 752 coins 28.60x 2026-11-06 23:22 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $527 752 coins 28.60x 2026-11-05 18:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $527 752 coins 28.60x 2026-11-05 17:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $527 752 coins 28.60x 2026-11-03 12:04 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=island-life) [AUG | Aristocrat (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-well-worn) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $2.11 3.02 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC [P250 | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $12.73 18.18 coins 0.69x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC [AUG | Aristocrat (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-well-worn) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $2.11 3.02 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC [UMP-45 | Exposure (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-well-worn) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $0.84 1.2 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-run-and-hide-field-tested) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $24.32 34.74 coins 1.32x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC [P250 | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bone-mask-factory-new) [OHNEEHRE](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/OHNEEHRE) $18.42 26.31 coins $12.73 18.18 coins 0.69x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC [XM1014 | Bone Machine (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-bone-machine-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $8.46 12.08 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC [UMP-45 | Exposure (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-well-worn) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $0.84 1.2 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-run-and-hide-field-tested) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $24.32 34.74 coins 1.32x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC [UMP-45 | Exposure (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-well-worn) Hidden $18.42 26.31 coins $0.84 1.2 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $527 (28.60x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.95 on average: an expected loss of $6.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt