--- title: "Ivy case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Ivy ($26.61) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.51% over 8,930 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ivy rendered: 2026-11-11T15:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Ivy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ivy) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Ivy A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ivy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ivy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ivy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ivy?window=all) Price · $26.61 · 38.02 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.51% · 8,930 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 90.88% ±27.53 1,057 openings 7 days · 87.96% ±10.63 7,422 openings 30 days · 90.51% ±9.88 8,930 openings since tracking started · 90.51% ±9.88 8,930 openings 62.5% 90.8% 119.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ivy?window=24h) | 1,057 | 90.88% ±27.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ivy?window=7d) | 7,422 | 87.96% ±10.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ivy) | 8,930 | 90.51% ±9.88 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ivy?window=all) | 8,930 | 90.51% ±9.88 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $3,245 4,635 coins 121.9x 2026-11-09 22:08 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) [KennyP](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/KennyP) $26.61 38.02 coins $3,245 4,635 coins 121.9x 2026-11-06 09:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $2,679 3,827 coins 100.7x 2026-11-05 20:34 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $1,712 2,445 coins 64.31x 2026-11-10 23:33 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $1,712 2,445 coins 64.31x 2026-11-09 03:46 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $1,712 2,445 coins 64.31x 2026-11-07 12:54 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $1,712 2,445 coins 64.31x 2026-11-04 02:48 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $1,712 2,445 coins 64.31x 2026-11-03 17:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $1,712 2,445 coins 64.31x 2026-11-02 23:51 UTC [P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $1,265 1,807 coins 47.53x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=ivy) [AUG | Carved Jade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-carved-jade-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $8.55 12.21 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:32 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $0.48 0.68 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:32 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $0.48 0.68 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:32 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) [LUFFFFYYYYYY](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/LUFFFFYYYYYY) $26.61 38.02 coins $0.48 0.68 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:32 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $0.48 0.68 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $0.48 0.68 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald (Well-Worn) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-well-worn) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $39.21 56.02 coins 1.47x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $0.48 0.68 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $0.48 0.68 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $26.61 38.02 coins $0.48 0.68 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $3,245 (121.9x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.51 on average: an expected loss of $9.49 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt