--- title: "Jack-o-lantern case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Jack-o-lantern ($18.10) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 99.59% over 14.7K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jack-o-lantern rendered: 2026-11-11T15:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Jack-o-lantern](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jack-o-lantern) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Jack-o-lantern A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jack-o-lantern?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jack-o-lantern?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jack-o-lantern) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jack-o-lantern?window=all) Price · $18.10 · 25.86 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 99.59% · 14.7K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 104.74% ±28.60 1,886 openings 7 days · 96.10% ±10.72 11K openings 30 days · 99.59% ±9.78 14.7K openings since tracking started · 99.59% ±9.78 14.7K openings 75.5% 104.8% 134.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jack-o-lantern?window=24h) | 1,886 | 104.74% ±28.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jack-o-lantern?window=7d) | 11K | 96.10% ±10.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jack-o-lantern) | 14.7K | 99.59% ±9.78 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jack-o-lantern?window=all) | 14.7K | 99.59% ±9.78 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $2,010 2,872 coins 111.0x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $2,010 2,872 coins 111.0x 2026-11-11 11:25 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-minimal-wear) [SneakyPeakyV2](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/SneakyPeakyV2) $18.10 25.86 coins $2,010 2,872 coins 111.0x 2026-11-10 16:44 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $2,010 2,872 coins 111.0x 2026-11-10 11:53 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-minimal-wear) [shubidibap](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/shubidibap) $18.10 25.86 coins $2,010 2,872 coins 111.0x 2026-11-09 16:31 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $2,010 2,872 coins 111.0x 2026-11-09 12:46 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $2,010 2,872 coins 111.0x 2026-11-08 11:43 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $2,010 2,872 coins 111.0x 2026-11-08 00:07 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $2,010 2,872 coins 111.0x 2026-11-07 03:58 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $2,010 2,872 coins 111.0x 2026-11-06 15:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=jack-o-lantern) [P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $1.58 2.25 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-orange-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $60.40 86.28 coins 3.34x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $1.58 2.25 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-orange-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $60.40 86.28 coins 3.34x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.10 25.86 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,010 (111.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 99.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $99.59 on average: an expected loss of $0.41 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt