--- title: "Jelly case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Jelly ($2,520.46) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.53% over 36 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jelly rendered: 2026-11-12T10:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Jelly](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jelly) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Jelly A case on Rain.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jelly?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jelly?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jelly) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jelly?window=all) Price · $2,520.46 · 3,601 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 83.53% · 36 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 36 openings · below min 30 days · 36 openings · below min since tracking started · 36 openings · below min 51.5% 83.5% 115.5% **Small sample.** 36 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jelly?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jelly?window=7d) | 36 | 83.53% ±31.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jelly) | 36 | 83.53% ±31.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/jelly?window=all) | 36 | 83.53% ±31.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $2,520 3,601 coins $7,207 10,295 coins 2.86x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $2,520 3,601 coins $7,207 10,295 coins 2.86x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) [MrTree](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/MrTree) $2,520 3,601 coins $7,207 10,295 coins 2.86x 2026-11-08 13:30 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $2,520 3,601 coins $6,775 9,679 coins 2.69x 2026-11-06 12:53 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $2,520 3,601 coins $5,807 8,295 coins 2.30x 2026-11-10 13:51 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $2,520 3,601 coins $5,807 8,295 coins 2.30x 2026-11-06 12:53 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) [moef-df7d7d](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/moef-df7d7d) $2,520 3,601 coins $5,085 7,264 coins 2.02x 2026-11-10 13:51 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) [MrTree](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/MrTree) $2,520 3,601 coins $5,085 7,264 coins 2.02x 2026-11-06 12:53 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $2,520 3,601 coins $3,865 5,521 coins 1.53x 2026-11-10 13:51 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) [swerve](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/swerve) $2,520 3,601 coins $2,684 3,834 coins 1.06x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=jelly) [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $2,520 3,601 coins $5,807 8,295 coins 2.30x 2026-11-10 13:51 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,520 3,601 coins $171 244 coins 0.07x 2026-11-10 13:51 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $2,520 3,601 coins $1,035 1,479 coins 0.41x 2026-11-10 13:51 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $2,520 3,601 coins $3,865 5,521 coins 1.53x 2026-11-10 13:51 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) Hidden $2,520 3,601 coins $288 412 coins 0.11x 2026-11-10 13:51 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) [moef-df7d7d](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/moef-df7d7d) $2,520 3,601 coins $5,085 7,264 coins 2.02x 2026-11-10 13:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $2,520 3,601 coins $7,207 10,295 coins 2.86x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $2,520 3,601 coins $7,207 10,295 coins 2.86x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $2,520 3,601 coins $471 672 coins 0.19x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) Hidden $2,520 3,601 coins $39.07 55.82 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $7,207 (2.86x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.53 on average: an expected loss of $16.47 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt