--- title: "joonXO case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "joonXO ($132.35) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 70.31% over 736 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/joonxo rendered: 2026-11-11T18:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [joonXO](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/joonxo) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · joonXO A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/joonxo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/joonxo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/joonxo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/joonxo?window=all) Price · $132.35 · 189 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 70.31% · 736 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 140 openings · below min 7 days · 635 openings · below min 30 days · 736 openings · below min since tracking started · 736 openings · below min 36.5% 62.7% 89.0% **Small sample.** 736 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/joonxo?window=24h) | 140 | 56.48% ±19.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/joonxo?window=7d) | 635 | 73.96% ±14.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/joonxo) | 736 | 70.31% ±12.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/joonxo?window=all) | 736 | 70.31% ±12.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $132 189 coins $2,228 3,184 coins 16.84x 2026-11-07 00:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $132 189 coins $2,228 3,184 coins 16.84x 2026-11-04 23:33 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) [Smabu](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Smabu) $132 189 coins $1,807 2,581 coins 13.65x 2026-11-10 02:04 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-stained-factory-new) Hidden $132 189 coins $1,404 2,006 coins 10.61x 2026-11-08 20:14 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-stained-factory-new) Hidden $132 189 coins $1,404 2,006 coins 10.61x 2026-11-05 08:58 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-stained-factory-new) Hidden $132 189 coins $1,404 2,006 coins 10.61x 2026-11-04 23:28 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-stained-factory-new) Hidden $132 189 coins $1,404 2,006 coins 10.61x 2026-11-04 07:22 UTC [★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $132 189 coins $1,172 1,674 coins 8.85x 2026-11-10 15:37 UTC [★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $132 189 coins $1,172 1,674 coins 8.85x 2026-11-10 12:32 UTC [★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $132 189 coins $1,172 1,674 coins 8.85x 2026-11-05 16:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=joonxo) [Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-well-worn) Hidden $132 189 coins $3.55 5.07 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $132 189 coins $177 253 coins 1.34x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-well-worn) Hidden $132 189 coins $3.55 5.07 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) Hidden $132 189 coins $35.85 51.21 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-well-worn) Hidden $132 189 coins $3.55 5.07 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-well-worn) [FybZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/FybZ) $132 189 coins $3.55 5.07 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-well-worn) Hidden $132 189 coins $3.55 5.07 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:31 UTC [Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-well-worn) Hidden $132 189 coins $3.55 5.07 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:31 UTC [Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-well-worn) Hidden $132 189 coins $3.55 5.07 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:31 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $132 189 coins $177 253 coins 1.34x 2026-11-11 15:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,228 (16.84x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 70.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $70.31 on average: an expected loss of $29.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt