--- title: "Juicy case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Juicy ($196.86) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.96% over 908 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/juicy rendered: 2026-11-11T22:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Juicy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/juicy) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Juicy A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/juicy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/juicy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/juicy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/juicy?window=all) Price · $196.86 · 281 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.96% · 908 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 35 openings · below min 7 days · 757 openings · below min 30 days · 908 openings · below min since tracking started · 908 openings · below min 54.5% 129.8% 205.0% **Small sample.** 908 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/juicy?window=24h) | 35 | 129.74% ±74.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/juicy?window=7d) | 757 | 88.61% ±8.40 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/juicy) | 908 | 87.96% ±7.27 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/juicy?window=all) | 908 | 87.96% ±7.27 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [dani-c4c16e](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/dani-c4c16e) $197 281 coins $3,531 5,044 coins 17.94x 2026-11-07 15:51 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $197 281 coins $2,674 3,820 coins 13.58x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [Smabu](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Smabu) $197 281 coins $1,735 2,478 coins 8.81x 2026-11-10 01:11 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $197 281 coins $1,735 2,478 coins 8.81x 2026-11-06 17:09 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) Hidden $197 281 coins $1,572 2,245 coins 7.98x 2026-11-10 04:43 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) Hidden $197 281 coins $1,572 2,245 coins 7.98x 2026-11-10 04:43 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) Hidden $197 281 coins $1,572 2,245 coins 7.98x 2026-11-10 04:43 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) [Smabu](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Smabu) $197 281 coins $1,572 2,245 coins 7.98x 2026-11-10 00:32 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-well-worn) Hidden $197 281 coins $1,236 1,765 coins 6.28x 2026-11-08 17:04 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-well-worn) [ArsenR](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ArsenR) $197 281 coins $1,236 1,765 coins 6.28x 2026-11-04 20:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=juicy) [M4A1-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $197 281 coins $228 326 coins 1.16x 2026-11-11 21:48 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-battle-scarred) Hidden $197 281 coins $281 401 coins 1.43x 2026-11-11 21:48 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) Hidden $197 281 coins $16.73 23.9 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 21:48 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-field-tested) [Mr.Yodoc](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Mr.Yodoc) $197 281 coins $245 350 coins 1.24x 2026-11-11 21:48 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) Hidden $197 281 coins $194 277 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 21:47 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) Hidden $197 281 coins $194 277 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 21:47 UTC [Tec-9 | Terrace (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-well-worn) Hidden $197 281 coins $106 151 coins 0.54x 2026-11-11 21:47 UTC [Tec-9 | Terrace (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-well-worn) [Mr.Yodoc](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Mr.Yodoc) $197 281 coins $106 151 coins 0.54x 2026-11-11 21:47 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $197 281 coins $228 326 coins 1.16x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) Hidden $197 281 coins $194 277 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $3,531 (17.94x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.96 on average: an expected loss of $12.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt