--- title: "Kermieet case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Kermieet ($28.90) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 97.40% over 2,413 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kermieet rendered: 2026-11-11T14:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Kermieet](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kermieet) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Kermieet A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kermieet?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kermieet?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kermieet) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kermieet?window=all) Price · $28.90 · 41.28 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 97.40% · 2,413 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 413 openings · below min 7 days · 105.73% ±38.06 1,919 openings 30 days · 97.40% ±30.53 2,413 openings since tracking started · 97.40% ±30.53 2,413 openings 24.5% 124.0% 223.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kermieet?window=24h) | 413 | 123.88% ±99.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kermieet?window=7d) | 1,919 | 105.73% ±38.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kermieet) | 2,413 | 97.40% ±30.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kermieet?window=all) | 2,413 | 97.40% ±30.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $5,896 8,422 coins 204.0x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) [da ander](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/da%20ander) $28.90 41.28 coins $5,896 8,422 coins 204.0x 2026-11-10 10:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $5,896 8,422 coins 204.0x 2026-11-09 00:18 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $1,301 1,859 coins 45.03x 2026-11-09 16:49 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $1,301 1,859 coins 45.03x 2026-11-05 11:52 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $1,301 1,859 coins 45.03x 2026-11-05 10:46 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $1,301 1,859 coins 45.03x 2026-11-05 06:22 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $734 1,048 coins 25.39x 2026-11-11 07:33 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $734 1,048 coins 25.39x 2026-11-09 00:15 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $734 1,048 coins 25.39x 2026-11-04 23:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=kermieet) [Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-toy-soldier-minimal-wear) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $1.34 1.92 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-toy-soldier-minimal-wear) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $1.34 1.92 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-toy-soldier-minimal-wear) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $1.34 1.92 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-toy-soldier-minimal-wear) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $1.34 1.92 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-toy-soldier-minimal-wear) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $1.34 1.92 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-toy-soldier-minimal-wear) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $1.34 1.92 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-toy-soldier-minimal-wear) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $1.34 1.92 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-toy-soldier-minimal-wear) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $1.34 1.92 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $73.51 105 coins 2.54x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-toy-soldier-minimal-wear) Hidden $28.90 41.28 coins $1.34 1.92 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $5,896 (204.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 97.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $97.40 on average: an expected loss of $2.60 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt