--- title: "KevinLowRoller case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "KevinLowRoller ($38.18) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.96% over 7,900 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kevinlowroller rendered: 2026-11-11T21:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [KevinLowRoller](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kevinlowroller) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · KevinLowRoller A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kevinlowroller?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kevinlowroller?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kevinlowroller) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kevinlowroller?window=all) Price · $38.18 · 54.54 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.96% · 7,900 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 543 openings · below min 7 days · 86.86% ±14.77 5,664 openings 30 days · 87.96% ±13.84 7,900 openings since tracking started · 87.96% ±13.84 7,900 openings 59.5% 91.8% 124.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kevinlowroller?window=24h) | 543 | 91.66% ±31.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kevinlowroller?window=7d) | 5,664 | 86.86% ±14.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kevinlowroller) | 7,900 | 87.96% ±13.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/kevinlowroller?window=all) | 7,900 | 87.96% ±13.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $12.3K 17,533 coins 321.5x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $12.3K 17,533 coins 321.5x 2026-11-03 14:45 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $1,974 2,821 coins 51.72x 2026-11-10 19:15 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $1,974 2,821 coins 51.72x 2026-11-10 01:54 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $1,974 2,821 coins 51.72x 2026-11-07 23:23 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $1,974 2,821 coins 51.72x 2026-11-07 13:58 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $1,974 2,821 coins 51.72x 2026-11-05 17:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $1,790 2,558 coins 46.90x 2026-11-11 08:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [jack.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/jack.com) $38.18 54.54 coins $1,790 2,558 coins 46.90x 2026-11-10 03:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $1,790 2,558 coins 46.90x 2026-11-09 05:37 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=kevinlowroller) [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $46.00 65.72 coins 1.20x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-glitter-antwerp-2022) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [Sticker | Bullet Rain sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bullet-rain) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [Sticker | Bullet Rain sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bullet-rain) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [Sticker | Bullet Rain sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bullet-rain) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [Sticker | Bullet Rain sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bullet-rain) [clarity](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/clarity) $38.18 54.54 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $46.00 65.72 coins 1.20x 2026-11-11 21:40 UTC [Sticker | Bullet Rain sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bullet-rain) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:40 UTC [Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-glitter-antwerp-2022) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:40 UTC [Sticker | Bullet Rain sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bullet-rain) Hidden $38.18 54.54 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $12.3K (321.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.96 on average: an expected loss of $12.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt