--- title: "Last Straw case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Last Straw ($7.94) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.85% over 79.2K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/last-straw rendered: 2026-11-11T14:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Last Straw](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/last-straw) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Last Straw A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/last-straw?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/last-straw?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/last-straw) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/last-straw?window=all) Price · $7.94 · 11.34 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.85% · 79.2K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 89.33% ±20.68 8,735 openings 7 days · 95.54% ±7.95 61.6K openings 30 days · 93.85% ±6.97 79.2K openings since tracking started · 93.85% ±6.97 79.2K openings 68.0% 89.3% 110.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/last-straw?window=24h) | 8,735 | 89.33% ±20.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/last-straw?window=7d) | 61.6K | 95.54% ±7.95 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/last-straw) | 79.2K | 93.85% ±6.97 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/last-straw?window=all) | 79.2K | 93.85% ±6.97 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [faded](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/faded) $7.94 11.34 coins $2,078 2,968 coins 261.7x 2026-11-11 04:21 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [EssamX](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/EssamX) $7.94 11.34 coins $2,078 2,968 coins 261.7x 2026-11-08 17:00 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $2,078 2,968 coins 261.7x 2026-11-05 21:57 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $2,078 2,968 coins 261.7x 2026-11-04 19:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $2,078 2,968 coins 261.7x 2026-11-03 21:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $2,078 2,968 coins 261.7x 2026-11-03 20:38 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $1,897 2,710 coins 239.0x 2026-11-10 15:39 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $1,897 2,710 coins 239.0x 2026-11-10 15:17 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $1,897 2,710 coins 239.0x 2026-11-10 09:45 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $1,897 2,710 coins 239.0x 2026-11-10 09:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=last-straw) [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-swat-blue) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-blood-red) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-swat-blue) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-blood-red) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-blood-red) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-swat-blue) [omascs](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/omascs) $7.94 11.34 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-swat-blue) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Blood Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-blood-red) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-swat-blue) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-swat-blue) Hidden $7.94 11.34 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,078 (261.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.85 on average: an expected loss of $6.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt