--- title: "Least Resistance case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Least Resistance ($151.08) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.58% over 271 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/least-resistance rendered: 2026-11-11T18:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Least Resistance](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/least-resistance) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Least Resistance A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/least-resistance?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/least-resistance?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/least-resistance) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/least-resistance?window=all) Price · $151.08 · 216 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.58% · 271 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 29 openings · below min 7 days · 194 openings · below min 30 days · 271 openings · below min since tracking started · 271 openings · below min 17.0% 85.5% 154.0% **Small sample.** 271 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/least-resistance?window=24h) | 29 | 85.35% ±67.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/least-resistance?window=7d) | 194 | 81.66% ±17.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/least-resistance) | 271 | 84.58% ±15.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/least-resistance?window=all) | 271 | 84.58% ±15.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) Hidden $151 216 coins $1,152 1,645 coins 7.62x 2026-11-04 18:44 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $151 216 coins $1,112 1,588 coins 7.36x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $151 216 coins $1,112 1,588 coins 7.36x 2026-11-11 15:35 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $151 216 coins $1,112 1,588 coins 7.36x 2026-11-09 19:21 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $151 216 coins $1,112 1,588 coins 7.36x 2026-11-05 16:07 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $151 216 coins $1,112 1,588 coins 7.36x 2026-11-04 18:50 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-katowice-2014) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $151 216 coins $674 963 coins 4.46x 2026-11-07 00:27 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-katowice-2014) Hidden $151 216 coins $674 963 coins 4.46x 2026-11-06 22:25 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-katowice-2014) [SpicyStakes](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/SpicyStakes) $151 216 coins $674 963 coins 4.46x 2026-11-04 18:44 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-katowice-2014) Hidden $151 216 coins $674 963 coins 4.46x 2026-11-04 18:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=least-resistance) [P2000 | Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-factory-new) Hidden $151 216 coins $17.30 24.71 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $151 216 coins $1,112 1,588 coins 7.36x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC [Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-field-tested) Hidden $151 216 coins $32.65 46.65 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC [Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-field-tested) [ACASS45](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ACASS45) $151 216 coins $32.65 46.65 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC [★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-minimal-wear) Hidden $151 216 coins $58.37 83.38 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [AWP | Silk Tiger (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-well-worn) Hidden $151 216 coins $111 158 coins 0.73x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [P2000 | Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-factory-new) Hidden $151 216 coins $17.30 24.71 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) [ACASS45](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ACASS45) $151 216 coins $399 570 coins 2.64x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [P2000 | Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-factory-new) Hidden $151 216 coins $17.30 24.71 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [P2000 | Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-factory-new) Hidden $151 216 coins $17.30 24.71 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,152 (7.62x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.58 on average: an expected loss of $15.42 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt