--- title: "Little Balls case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Little Balls ($5.65) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.79% over 22.9K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/little-balls rendered: 2026-11-11T17:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Little Balls](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/little-balls) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Little Balls A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/little-balls?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/little-balls?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/little-balls) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/little-balls?window=all) Price · $5.65 · 8.07 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.79% · 22.9K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 89.34% ±13.61 2,369 openings 7 days · 89.38% ±5.50 18.4K openings 30 days · 93.79% ±5.74 22.9K openings since tracking started · 93.79% ±5.74 22.9K openings 75.0% 89.3% 103.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/little-balls?window=24h) | 2,369 | 89.34% ±13.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/little-balls?window=7d) | 18.4K | 89.38% ±5.50 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/little-balls) | 22.9K | 93.79% ±5.74 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/little-balls?window=all) | 22.9K | 93.79% ±5.74 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.65 8.07 coins $968 1,383 coins 171.4x 2026-11-07 00:07 UTC [AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.65 8.07 coins $968 1,383 coins 171.4x 2026-11-04 21:52 UTC [AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.65 8.07 coins $968 1,383 coins 171.4x 2026-11-03 14:47 UTC [AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.65 8.07 coins $968 1,383 coins 171.4x 2026-11-03 10:03 UTC [AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.65 8.07 coins $968 1,383 coins 171.4x 2026-11-03 01:01 UTC [AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) [Bierkasten](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Bierkasten) $5.65 8.07 coins $968 1,383 coins 171.4x 2026-11-02 22:53 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=little-balls) [AWP | Capillary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.65 8.07 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.65 8.07 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.65 8.07 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.65 8.07 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Violent Violet) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-violent-violet) Hidden $5.65 8.07 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.65 8.07 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Violent Violet) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-violent-violet) Hidden $5.65 8.07 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Violent Violet) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-violent-violet) [BG2x](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/BG2x) $5.65 8.07 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Violent Violet) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-violent-violet) Hidden $5.65 8.07 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Violent Violet) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-8-ball-violent-violet) Hidden $5.65 8.07 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $968 (171.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.79 on average: an expected loss of $6.21 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt