--- title: "Loco case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Loco ($39.79) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.92% over 9,324 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loco rendered: 2026-11-11T14:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Loco](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loco) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Loco A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loco?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loco?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loco) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loco?window=all) Price · $39.79 · 56.84 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.92% · 9,324 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 761 openings · below min 7 days · 93.37% ±9.84 7,347 openings 30 days · 93.92% ±8.70 9,324 openings since tracking started · 93.92% ±8.70 9,324 openings 59.5% 86.3% 113.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loco?window=24h) | 761 | 86.34% ±26.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loco?window=7d) | 7,347 | 93.37% ±9.84 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loco) | 9,324 | 93.92% ±8.70 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loco?window=all) | 9,324 | 93.92% ±8.70 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $2,196 3,137 coins 55.20x 2026-11-10 13:47 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $2,196 3,137 coins 55.20x 2026-11-09 19:39 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $2,196 3,137 coins 55.20x 2026-11-08 17:42 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $2,196 3,137 coins 55.20x 2026-11-08 11:21 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $2,196 3,137 coins 55.20x 2026-11-06 15:39 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $2,196 3,137 coins 55.20x 2026-11-06 13:23 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $2,196 3,137 coins 55.20x 2026-11-06 09:27 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $2,196 3,137 coins 55.20x 2026-11-06 05:24 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) [Glebboss](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Glebboss) $39.79 56.84 coins $2,196 3,137 coins 55.20x 2026-11-06 00:53 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $2,196 3,137 coins 55.20x 2026-11-05 08:01 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=loco) [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $425 608 coins 10.69x 2026-11-11 14:27 UTC [Sticker | Ouchie (Foil) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ouchie-foil) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $3.00 4.28 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 14:27 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-minimal-wear) [swerve](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/swerve) $39.79 56.84 coins $767 1,096 coins 19.28x 2026-11-11 14:27 UTC [Sticker | Seek & Destroy sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seek-and-destroy) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $1.34 1.91 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:18 UTC [Sticker | Ouchie (Foil) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ouchie-foil) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $3.00 4.28 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 14:18 UTC [Sticker | Ouchie (Foil) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ouchie-foil) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $3.00 4.28 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 14:18 UTC [Sticker | Ouchie (Foil) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ouchie-foil) [Lwhitt85](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Lwhitt85) $39.79 56.84 coins $3.00 4.28 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 14:18 UTC [Sticker | Ouchie (Foil) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ouchie-foil) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $3.00 4.28 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 14:07 UTC [Sticker | Seek & Destroy sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seek-and-destroy) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $1.34 1.91 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:07 UTC [Sticker | Seek & Destroy sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seek-and-destroy) Hidden $39.79 56.84 coins $1.34 1.91 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,196 (55.20x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.92 on average: an expected loss of $6.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt