--- title: "Loud case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Loud ($19.15) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 101.25% over 2,093 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loud rendered: 2026-11-12T00:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Loud](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loud) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Loud A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loud?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loud?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loud) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loud?window=all) Price · $19.15 · 27.35 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 101.25% · 2,093 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 138 openings · below min 7 days · 98.20% ±14.19 1,387 openings 30 days · 101.25% ±11.68 2,093 openings since tracking started · 101.25% ±11.68 2,093 openings 58.0% 99.8% 141.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loud?window=24h) | 138 | 99.79% ±41.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loud?window=7d) | 1,387 | 98.20% ±14.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loud) | 2,093 | 101.25% ±11.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/loud?window=all) | 2,093 | 101.25% ±11.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Moto Gloves | POW! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.15 27.35 coins $554 791 coins 28.93x 2026-11-08 23:54 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | POW! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-minimal-wear) [Tr1c0](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Tr1c0) $19.15 27.35 coins $554 791 coins 28.93x 2026-11-04 03:28 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=loud) [Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-bone-machine-battle-scarred) Hidden $19.15 27.35 coins $4.97 7.1 coins 0.26x 2026-11-12 00:16 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-loudmouth-field-tested) Hidden $19.15 27.35 coins $1.55 2.21 coins 0.08x 2026-11-12 00:16 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-loudmouth-field-tested) Hidden $19.15 27.35 coins $1.55 2.21 coins 0.08x 2026-11-12 00:16 UTC [Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-bone-machine-battle-scarred) Hidden $19.15 27.35 coins $4.97 7.1 coins 0.26x 2026-11-12 00:16 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-twin-turbo-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.15 27.35 coins $39.56 56.51 coins 2.07x 2026-11-12 00:16 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-field-tested) Hidden $19.15 27.35 coins $209 299 coins 10.92x 2026-11-12 00:16 UTC [SCAR-20 | Storm (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-storm-factory-new) Hidden $19.15 27.35 coins $10.76 15.37 coins 0.56x 2026-11-12 00:16 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-loudmouth-field-tested) [MadBro ⚡](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/MadBro%20%E2%9A%A1) $19.15 27.35 coins $1.55 2.21 coins 0.08x 2026-11-12 00:16 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-loudmouth-field-tested) Hidden $19.15 27.35 coins $1.55 2.21 coins 0.08x 2026-11-12 00:06 UTC [Souvenir XM1014 | Bone Machine (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-bone-machine-battle-scarred) Hidden $19.15 27.35 coins $4.97 7.1 coins 0.26x 2026-11-12 00:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $554 (28.93x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 101.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $101.25 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt