--- title: "Mad Scientist case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Mad Scientist ($11.28) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.30% over 2,267 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mad-scientist rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Mad Scientist](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mad-scientist) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Mad Scientist A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mad-scientist?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mad-scientist?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mad-scientist) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mad-scientist?window=all) Price · $11.28 · 16.11 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.30% · 2,267 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 208 openings · below min 7 days · 96.32% ±15.26 1,989 openings 30 days · 93.30% ±13.89 2,267 openings since tracking started · 93.30% ±13.89 2,267 openings 45.5% 80.0% 114.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mad-scientist?window=24h) | 208 | 80.15% ±33.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mad-scientist?window=7d) | 1,989 | 96.32% ±15.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mad-scientist) | 2,267 | 93.30% ±13.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mad-scientist?window=all) | 2,267 | 93.30% ±13.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=mad-scientist) [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $11.28 16.11 coins $18.14 25.92 coins 1.61x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-flux-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.28 16.11 coins $28.24 40.34 coins 2.50x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Irradiated Alert (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-irradiated-alert-factory-new) Hidden $11.28 16.11 coins $12.63 18.04 coins 1.12x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [MAG-7 | Monster Call (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-field-tested) Hidden $11.28 16.11 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-neural-net-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.28 16.11 coins $2.48 3.54 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [MAG-7 | Monster Call (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-field-tested) Hidden $11.28 16.11 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [MAG-7 | Monster Call (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-field-tested) Hidden $11.28 16.11 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [MAG-7 | Monster Call (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-field-tested) [return](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/return) $11.28 16.11 coins $0.36 0.51 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $11.28 16.11 coins $18.14 25.92 coins 1.61x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) Hidden $11.28 16.11 coins $20.47 29.25 coins 1.82x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.30 on average: an expected loss of $6.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt