---
title: "Make That Bread case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Make That Bread ($11.56) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.89% over 582 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/make-that-bread
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Make That Bread](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/make-that-bread)

# [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Make That Bread

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/make-that-bread?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/make-that-bread?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/make-that-bread) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/make-that-bread?window=all)

Price · $11.56 · 16.51 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.89% · 582 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 35 openings · below min

7 days · 426 openings · below min

30 days · 582 openings · below min

since tracking started · 582 openings · below min

46.0% 75.8% 105.5%

**Small sample.** 582 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/make-that-bread?window=24h) | 35 | 74.79% ±28.0 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/make-that-bread?window=7d) | 426 | 95.61% ±9.01 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/make-that-bread) | 582 | 91.89% ±7.68 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/make-that-bread?window=all) | 582 | 91.89% ±7.68 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=make-that-bread)

[Sticker | Flame Tier6 (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flame-tier6-holo) Hidden $11.56 16.51 coins $18.21 26.02 coins 1.58x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[Sticker | Flame Tier6 (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flame-tier6-holo) Hidden $11.56 16.51 coins $18.21 26.02 coins 1.58x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[P250 | Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) [Big yahu](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Big%20yahu) $11.56 16.51 coins $1.11 1.58 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[P250 | Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) Hidden $11.56 16.51 coins $1.11 1.58 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC

[Sticker | Flame Tier6 (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flame-tier6-holo) Hidden $11.56 16.51 coins $18.21 26.02 coins 1.58x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC

[P250 | Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) Hidden $11.56 16.51 coins $1.11 1.58 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC

[P250 | Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) Hidden $11.56 16.51 coins $1.11 1.58 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC

[Sticker | Flame Tier6 (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flame-tier6-holo) Hidden $11.56 16.51 coins $18.21 26.02 coins 1.58x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC

[P250 | Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) [HELL YEAH. Juice.gg @bandit](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/HELL%20YEAH.%20Juice.gg%20%40bandit) $11.56 16.51 coins $1.11 1.58 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC

[P250 | Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) Hidden $11.56 16.51 coins $1.11 1.58 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.89 on average: an expected loss of $8.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
