--- title: "Measured case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Measured ($3.32) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.38% over 2,084 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/measured rendered: 2026-11-11T20:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Measured](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/measured) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Measured A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/measured?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/measured?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/measured) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/measured?window=all) Price · $3.32 · 4.74 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.38% · 2,084 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 85 openings · below min 7 days · 90.97% ±2.51 1,818 openings 30 days · 90.38% ±2.35 2,084 openings since tracking started · 90.38% ±2.35 2,084 openings 82.0% 94.5% 107.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/measured?window=24h) | 85 | 94.52% ±12.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/measured?window=7d) | 1,818 | 90.97% ±2.51 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/measured) | 2,084 | 90.38% ±2.35 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/measured?window=all) | 2,084 | 90.38% ±2.35 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=measured) [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-eco-minimal-wear) [JoNe$Y](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/JoNe%24Y) $3.32 4.74 coins $3.11 4.44 coins 0.94x 2026-11-11 19:46 UTC [AWP | POP AWP (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-field-tested) [JoNe$Y](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/JoNe%24Y) $3.32 4.74 coins $5.44 7.77 coins 1.64x 2026-11-11 19:46 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-well-worn) Hidden $3.32 4.74 coins $4.66 6.66 coins 1.41x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $3.32 4.74 coins $1.55 2.22 coins 0.47x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC [P250 | Dark Filigree (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-dark-filigree-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.32 4.74 coins $6.99 9.99 coins 2.11x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC [AWP | PAW (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-factory-new) Hidden $3.32 4.74 coins $3.89 5.55 coins 1.17x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.32 4.74 coins $0.78 1.11 coins 0.23x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-eco-minimal-wear) [StenZit](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/StenZit) $3.32 4.74 coins $3.11 4.44 coins 0.94x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-eco-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.32 4.74 coins $3.11 4.44 coins 0.94x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-well-worn) Hidden $3.32 4.74 coins $4.66 6.66 coins 1.41x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.38 on average: an expected loss of $9.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt