--- title: "Meluhdy V2 case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Meluhdy V2 ($41.77) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.71% over 16.2K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy-v2 rendered: 2026-11-11T18:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Meluhdy V2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy-v2) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Meluhdy V2 A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy-v2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy-v2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy-v2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy-v2?window=all) Price · $41.77 · 59.67 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.71% · 16.2K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 95.48% ±62.25 1,863 openings 7 days · 88.36% ±21.06 12.1K openings 30 days · 89.71% ±18.14 16.2K openings since tracking started · 89.71% ±18.14 16.2K openings 32.5% 95.5% 158.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy-v2?window=24h) | 1,863 | 95.48% ±62.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy-v2?window=7d) | 12.1K | 88.36% ±21.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy-v2) | 16.2K | 89.71% ±18.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy-v2?window=all) | 16.2K | 89.71% ±18.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $14.1K 20,099 coins 336.8x 2026-11-11 00:53 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $14.1K 20,099 coins 336.8x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $14.1K 20,099 coins 336.8x 2026-11-10 11:53 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $14.1K 20,099 coins 336.8x 2026-11-09 13:25 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $14.1K 20,099 coins 336.8x 2026-11-08 09:49 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $14.1K 20,099 coins 336.8x 2026-11-06 14:06 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $14.1K 20,099 coins 336.8x 2026-11-05 12:04 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $14.1K 20,099 coins 336.8x 2026-11-04 17:22 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $14.1K 20,099 coins 336.8x 2026-11-03 16:40 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-well-worn) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $7,798 11,140 coins 186.7x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=meluhdy-v2) [Sealed Graffiti | Howling Dawn graffiti · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-howling-dawn) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $6.23 8.9 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Howling Dawn graffiti · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-howling-dawn) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $6.23 8.9 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Howling Dawn graffiti · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-howling-dawn) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $6.23 8.9 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-well-worn) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $7,798 11,140 coins 186.7x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Howling Dawn graffiti · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-howling-dawn) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $6.23 8.9 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-well-worn) [return](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/return) $41.77 59.67 coins $3,847 5,496 coins 92.11x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Howling Dawn graffiti · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-howling-dawn) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $6.23 8.9 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Howling Dawn graffiti · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-howling-dawn) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $6.23 8.9 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Howling Dawn graffiti · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-howling-dawn) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $6.23 8.9 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Howling Dawn graffiti · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-howling-dawn) Hidden $41.77 59.67 coins $6.23 8.9 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $14.1K (336.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.71 on average: an expected loss of $10.29 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt