--- title: "Meluhdy case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Meluhdy ($20.87) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.25% over 81.3K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy rendered: 2026-11-11T15:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Meluhdy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Meluhdy A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy?window=all) Price · $20.87 · 29.82 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.25% · 81.3K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 66.45% ±19.26 6,466 openings 7 days · 88.75% ±13.03 64.8K openings 30 days · 89.25% ±12.01 81.3K openings since tracking started · 89.25% ±12.01 81.3K openings 46.5% 74.5% 102.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy?window=24h) | 6,466 | 66.45% ±19.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy?window=7d) | 64.8K | 88.75% ±13.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy) | 81.3K | 89.25% ±12.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/meluhdy?window=all) | 81.3K | 89.25% ±12.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $27.4K 39,184 coins 1,314x 2026-11-10 13:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $27.4K 39,184 coins 1,314x 2026-11-10 04:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $27.4K 39,184 coins 1,314x 2026-11-09 08:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) [que pasa](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/que%20pasa) $20.87 29.82 coins $27.4K 39,184 coins 1,314x 2026-11-08 14:04 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $27.4K 39,184 coins 1,314x 2026-11-08 01:15 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $27.4K 39,184 coins 1,314x 2026-11-07 13:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $27.4K 39,184 coins 1,314x 2026-11-05 12:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $27.4K 39,184 coins 1,314x 2026-11-05 01:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $27.4K 39,184 coins 1,314x 2026-11-03 18:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $27.4K 39,184 coins 1,314x 2026-11-03 01:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=meluhdy) [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $20.87 29.82 coins $0.70 1 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $27.4K (1,314x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.25 on average: an expected loss of $10.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt