--- title: "Mintpod case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Mintpod ($14.07) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 95.23% over 3,749 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mintpod rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Mintpod](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mintpod) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Mintpod A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mintpod?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mintpod?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mintpod) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mintpod?window=all) Price · $14.07 · 20.1 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 95.23% · 3,749 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 442 openings · below min 7 days · 92.23% ±13.99 3,049 openings 30 days · 95.23% ±13.01 3,749 openings since tracking started · 95.23% ±13.01 3,749 openings 69.5% 110.5% 151.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mintpod?window=24h) | 442 | 110.40% ±40.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mintpod?window=7d) | 3,049 | 92.23% ±14.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mintpod) | 3,749 | 95.23% ±13.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/mintpod?window=all) | 3,749 | 95.23% ±13.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [Maggus](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Maggus) $14.07 20.1 coins $788 1,126 coins 56.04x 2026-11-11 03:15 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $788 1,126 coins 56.04x 2026-11-10 05:59 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $788 1,126 coins 56.04x 2026-11-09 20:24 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $788 1,126 coins 56.04x 2026-11-08 16:20 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $788 1,126 coins 56.04x 2026-11-05 11:04 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $788 1,126 coins 56.04x 2026-11-03 11:42 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · #ffd700 · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $590 843 coins 41.92x 2026-11-08 17:35 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · #ffd700 · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) [⚡NaFa](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%E2%9A%A1NaFa) $14.07 20.1 coins $590 843 coins 41.92x 2026-11-06 22:22 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · #ffd700 · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $590 843 coins 41.92x 2026-11-05 16:32 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · #ffd700 · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $590 843 coins 41.92x 2026-11-04 10:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=mintpod) [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-wave-spray-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $8.54 12.2 coins 0.61x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-oceanic-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $0.42 0.6 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-oceanic-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $0.42 0.6 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-oceanic-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $0.42 0.6 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-oceanic-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $0.42 0.6 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-nightmare-minimal-wear) [LUFFFFYYYYYY](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/LUFFFFYYYYYY) $14.07 20.1 coins $48.71 69.58 coins 3.46x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $82.25 118 coins 5.85x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [FAMAS | Afterimage (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $25.23 36.05 coins 1.79x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-oceanic-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $0.42 0.6 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-oceanic-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.07 20.1 coins $0.42 0.6 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $788 (56.04x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 95.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $95.23 on average: an expected loss of $4.77 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt